Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22

Jan 30, 2021 at 4pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
1 - 2
Lens

Wahi (78')
Mavididi (15'), Mendes (16'), Laborde (18'), Hilton (48')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Doucoure (7'), Kakuta (67')
Sotoca (51'), Banza (55'), Mauricio (83'), Haidara (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lens
33.17%	25.94%	40.88%

Both teams to score 53.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.62%

50.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.68%

72.31%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.23%

28.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.39%

64.6%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.64%

24.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.25%

58.74%

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 33.17%

Lens 40.88%

Draw 25.93%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 8.73% 2-1 @ 7.68% 2-0 @ 5.44% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-0 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.17%	1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93%	0-1 @ 9.89% 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-2 @ 6.99% 1-3 @ 4.1% 0-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.16% 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.88%