Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Nov 21, 2026 7.45pm
Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Last game
Nov 8, 2026 7.45pm
Lens 1 - 2 Marseille
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Florian Thauvin

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Nov 6, 2026 7.45pm
Toulouse 3 - 1 Strasbourg
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Casper Tengstedt

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lens win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Toulouse has a probability of 33.74% and a draw has a probability of 24.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Toulouse win is 1-2 (8.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.3%).

Result

Lens 42.15%
Draw 24.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Toulouse 33.74% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.75% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.51% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 18.49% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 61.37% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 38.63% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 37.86% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 62.14% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 22.94% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 77.06% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Lens 32.45%
Draw 40.96%
Toulouse 26.59%

Team To Score First

Lens 52.77% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 4.96% ▼ (-0.03)
Toulouse 42.27% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 55.64%
Equal 8 12.27%
Under 8 32.1%
Over 9 43.33%
Equal 9 12.31%
Under 9 44.36%
Over 10.5 32.07%
Under 10.5 67.93%

Lens Goals

Over 1.5 46.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 53.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 21.99% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 78.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 8.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.59% ▼ (-0.01)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 70.29% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 29.71% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 40.51% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 59.49% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 17.36% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 82.64% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.29% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.71% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Lens 42.14%
Draw 24.11%
Toulouse 33.74%
Lens
2-1 @ 9.1%
1-0 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.54%
3-2 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 8.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 42.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.55%
0-0 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 24.11%
Toulouse
1-2 @ 8.66% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 33.74%

Head to Head

Coupe de France
Apr 21, 2026 8.10pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Florian Thauvin 9' goal
  • Florian Thauvin 9' yellowcard
  • Allan Saint-Maximin 18' goal
  • Matthieu Udol 35' goal
  • Arthur Masuaku 64' yellowcard
  • Wesley Saïd  64' yellowcard
  • 64' yellowcard
  • Abdallah Sima 72' yellowcard
  • Adrien Thomasson  74' goal
  • Ruben Aguilar 78' yellowcard
  • Amadou Haidara  79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pape Demba Diop 8'
  • goal Santiago Hidalgo 21'
  • yellowcard Cristian Cásseres Jr. 58'
  • yellowcard Jacen Russell-Rowe 64'
  • yellowcard Alexis Vossah 64'
  • yellowcard Carles Martínez 67'
  • yellowcard Warren Kamanzi 76'
  • yellowcard Ilyas Azizi 76'
  • yellowcard Ilyas Azizi 77'
  • yellowcard Mario Sauer 86'
Ligue 1
Apr 17, 2026 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Arthur Masuaku 45' yellowcard
  • Odsonne Édouard 55' yellowcard
  • Allan Saint-Maximin 55' yellowcard
  • Saud Abdulhamid 61' goal
  • Adrien Thomasson  67' goal
  • Adrien Thomasson 67' goal
  • Florian Thauvin 72' yellowcard
  • Florian Thauvin 73' yellowcard
  • Samson Baidoo  85' yellowcard
  • Andrija Bulatovic 85' yellowcard
  • Ismaëlo Ganiou 90'+1' goal
  • goal Cristian Cásseres Jr. 6'
  • goal Seny Koumbassa 13'
  • redcard Yann Gboho 17'
  • yellowcard Carles Martínez 28'
  • yellowcard Pape Demba Diop 46'
  • yellowcard Dayann Methalie 64'
  • yellowcard Jacen Russell-Rowe 64'
  • yellowcard Djibril Sidibé 72'
  • yellowcard Mario Sauer 76'
  • yellowcard Mário Sauer 88'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Jan 2, 2026 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse
  • Emersonn 23' redcard
  • Seny Koumbassa 30' yellowcard
  • Charlie Cresswell 57' yellowcard
  • Mario Sauer 63' yellowcard
  • Santiago Hidalgo 63' yellowcard
  • Warren Kamanzi 77' yellowcard
  • Julián Vignolo 77' yellowcard
  • Carles Martinez 86' yellowcard
  • Mário Sauer 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rayan Fofana 38'
  • yellowcard Florian Thauvin 50'
  • goal Wesley Saïd 57'
  • yellowcard Morgan Guilavogui 74'
  • goal Adrien Thomasson 85'
  • yellowcard Andrija Bulatovic 88'
  • yellowcard Anthony Bermont 90'
  • yellowcard Florian Sotoca 90'
  • yellowcard Robin François Philippe Risser 90'+2'
  • goal Ismaëlo Ganiou 90'+5'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Yann Gboho 47' goal
  • Aron Donnum 63' yellowcard
  • Cristian Casseres Jr 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adrien Thomasson 51'
  • yellowcard Facundo Medina 57'
  • yellowcard Nampalys Mendy 60'
  • goal Neil El Aynaoui 61'
  • yellowcard Wesley Said 87'
  • yellowcard Anass Zaroury 88'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 16
Jan 5, 2025 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Przemyslaw Frankowski 8' yellowcard
  • Kevin Danso 31' yellowcard
  • David Costa 61' redcard
  • Angelo Fulgini 64' yellowcard
  • Herve Koffi 77' yellowcard
  • Hamzat Ojediran 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charlie Cresswell 10'
  • goal Zakaria Aboukhlal 73'
  • yellowcard Yann Gboho 77'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2024 4.05pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Carles Martinez 37' yellowcard
  • Aron Donnum 40' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Nicolaisen 45' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Suazo 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wesley Said 36'
  • goal David Costa 42'
  • goal Andy Diouf 55'
  • yellowcard Massadio Haidara 83'
  • yellowcard Florian Sotoca 90'