Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34

May 17, 2025 at 8pm UK

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens
4 - 0
Monaco

El Aynaoui (21', 56'), Thomasson (73'), Zaroury (78')
Medina (43')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Diatta (45+1')
Magassa (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Lens
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Monaco

All competitions

Last Game: Monaco 2-0 Lyon
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Lens	Draw	Monaco
40.9% ( 0.3)	24.13% ( 0.32)	34.98% ( -0.62)

Both teams to score 60.68% (

-1.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.23% (

-1.64)

41.77% (

1.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.83% (

-1.68)

64.17% (

1.68)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.4% (

-0.56)

20.6% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.86% (

-0.89)

53.14% (

0.89)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.42% (

-1.09)

23.58% (

1.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.35% (

-1.6)

57.65% (

1.6)

Score Analysis

Lens 40.9%

Monaco 34.98%

Draw 24.12%

Lens	Draw	Monaco
2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 40.9%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.35) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.12%	1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.98%