Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33

May 10, 2025 at 8pm UK

Stade Oceane

Le Havre
1 - 3
Marseille

Soumare (66')
Nego (48'), Pembele (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gouiri (56', 90+9'), Greenwood (85')
Balerdi (52'), Greenwood (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Auxerre 1-2 Le Havre
Sunday, May 4 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Marseille

All competitions

Last Game: Lille 1-1 Marseille
Sunday, May 4 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 14.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Le Havre win it was 2-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Le Havre	Draw	Marseille
14.75%	18.66%	66.59%

Both teams to score 55.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.69% (

-0)

37.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.48% (

-0)

59.52%

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.02% (

-0)

37.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.25%

74.75%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.61% (

-0)

10.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.09% (

-0)

33.91%

Score Analysis

Le Havre 14.75%

Marseille 66.59%

Draw 18.66%

Le Havre	Draw	Marseille
2-1 @ 4.19% 1-0 @ 3.82% 2-0 @ 1.85% 3-2 @ 1.53% 3-1 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.01% Total : 14.75%	1-1 @ 8.65% 2-2 @ 4.74% 0-0 @ 3.95% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.66%	0-2 @ 10.11% 1-2 @ 9.79% 0-1 @ 8.93% 0-3 @ 7.64% 1-3 @ 7.39% 0-4 @ 4.32% 1-4 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.03% 0-5 @ 1.96% 1-5 @ 1.9% 2-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.83% Total : 66.59%