Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stade Oceane
Le Havre1 - 3Marseille
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Auxerre 1-2 Le Havre
Sunday, May 4 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, May 4 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
36
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Marseille
Sunday, May 4 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, May 4 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
67
We said: Le Havre 2-3 Marseille
Marseille have kept just five clean sheets this season, but have scored 67 goals in 32 games, so action at both ends is expected, but given their dominant record over Le Havre, an away victory is the most likely outcome. Le Havre have a very tough finish to the season, and may need some favours from elsewhere to avoid the drop, but they will need to pull something miraculous out of the bag if they are to dodge the relegation playoff. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 14.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Le Havre win it was 2-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Le Havre | Draw | Marseille |
| 14.75% | 18.66% | 66.59% |
| Both teams to score 55.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
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