/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Fhavlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
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Loic Nego
48'
-
Issa Soumare
66'
-
Timothee Pembele
90'+8'
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Leonardo Balerdi
52'
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Amine Gouiri
56'
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Mason Greenwood
85'
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Mason Greenwood
87'
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Amine Gouiri
90'+9'
Le Havre vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F51%2Fmason-greenwood.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 14.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Le Havre win it was 2-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result
Le Havre
14.75%
Draw
18.66%
Marseille
66.59%
Both Teams to Score:
55.58%
Goals
Over 2.5
62.69%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
37.31%
Over 3.5
40.48%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
59.52%
Over 4.5
22.53%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
77.48%
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5
62.02%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
37.98%
Over 1.5
25.25%
Under 1.5
74.75%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5
89.61%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
10.39%
Over 1.5
66.09%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
33.91%
Score analysis
Le Havre
14.75%
Draw
18.66%
Marseille
66.59%
Le Havre
2-1
@
4.19%
1-0 @ 3.82%
2-0 @ 1.85%
3-2 @ 1.53%
3-1 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 14.75%
1-0 @ 3.82%
2-0 @ 1.85%
3-2 @ 1.53%
3-1 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 14.75%
Draw
1-1
@
8.65%
2-2 @ 4.74%
0-0 @ 3.95%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.66%
2-2 @ 4.74%
0-0 @ 3.95%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.66%
Marseille
0-2
@
10.11%
1-2 @ 9.79%
0-1 @ 8.93%
0-3 @ 7.64%
1-3 @ 7.39%
0-4 @ 4.32%
1-4 @ 4.19%
2-3 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.03%
0-5 @ 1.96%
1-5 @ 1.9%
Other @ 4.75%
Total : 66.59%
1-2 @ 9.79%
0-1 @ 8.93%
0-3 @ 7.64%
1-3 @ 7.39%
0-4 @ 4.32%
1-4 @ 4.19%
2-3 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.03%
0-5 @ 1.96%
1-5 @ 1.9%
Other @ 4.75%
Total : 66.59%
Rassoul N'Diaye
40'