Liga MX Gameweek 12
Toluca
Oct 18, 2026 2.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
Atletico San Luis
  • Érick Gabriel Gutiérrez Galaviz 67' goal
  • goal Rafa Llorente 73'

Toluca vs Atletico San Luis - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 4.00am
Tigres 3 - 2 Toluca
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Federico Viñas

Atletico San Luis

All competitions
Last game
Oct 12, 2026 12.00am
Atletico San Luis 1 - 2 Santos Laguna
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
David Rodríguez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 66.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.03% and a win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 14.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%) , while for a Atletico San Luis win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

Toluca 66.93% ▲ (+1.18)
Draw 19.03% ▼ (-0.67)
Atletico San Luis 14.01% ▼ (-0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.5% ▼ (-0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.15% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 15.85% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 2.5 65% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 2.5 35% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 3.5 41.9% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 3.5 58.1% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 4.5 28.11% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 4.5 71.89% ▲ (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Toluca 48.31% ▲ (+0.86)
Draw 36.06% ▼ (-0.33)
Atletico San Luis 15.63% ▼ (-0.53)

Team To Score First

Toluca 68.02% ▼ (-1.05)
No Goal 3.77% ▼ (-0.01)
Atletico San Luis 28.21% ▲ (+1.06)

Corners

Over 8 62.43% ▲ (+1.01)
Equal 8 10.11% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 8 27.46% ▼ (-1.33)
Over 9 51.76% ▲ (+0.65)
Equal 9 10.68% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 9 37.57% ▼ (-1.01)
Over 10.5 41.33% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 10.5 58.67% ▼ (-0.25)

Toluca Goals

Over 1.5 66.72% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 1.5 33.28% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 2.5 39.72% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 2.5 60.28% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 3.5 19.94% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 3.5 80.06% ▼ (-0.24)

Atletico San Luis Goals

Over 0.5 50.87% ▼ (-1.10)
Under 0.5 49.13% ▲ (+1.10)
Over 1.5 21.52% ▼ (-0.97)
Under 1.5 78.48% ▲ (+0.97)
Over 2.5 6.54% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 2.5 93.46% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 3.5 1.65% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 3.5 98.35% ▲ (+0.24)

Score analysis

Toluca 66.91%
Draw 19.02%
Atletico San Luis 14.01%
Toluca
2-1 @ 10.54% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.41% ▲ (+0.24)
1-0 @ 8.8% ▲ (+0.25)
3-0 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.29)
3-1 @ 7.22%
3-2 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 19.63% ▲ (+0.33)
Total : 66.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.37% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.22)
0-0 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 0.31% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 19.02%
Atletico San Luis
1-2 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.28)
0-1 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 1.39%
1-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.15)
Total : 14.01%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 14
Toluca
Apr 13, 2026 2.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
Atletico San Luis
  • Santiago Simón 46' yellowcard
  • Everardo del Villar 46' yellowcard
  • Jorge Díaz 46' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Castro 63' yellowcard
  • Franco Rossi 72' goal
  • Franco Romero 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anderson Duarte 58'
  • yellowcard Miguel García 73'
  • yellowcard David Rodríguez 73'
  • yellowcard Santiago Muñóz 83'
  • yellowcard João Pedro 90'+7'
Liga MX
Atletico San Luis
Aug 30, 2025 2.00am
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Toluca
Liga MX Gameweek 16
Atletico San Luis
Apr 17, 2025 3.00am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramirez
Toluca
  • Sebastien Salles-Lamonge 71' yellowcard
  • Sebastien Salles-Lamonge 71' yellowcard
  • goal Jesus Gallardo 16'
  • goal Jesus Gallardo 16'
  • yellowcard Everardo Lopez 51'
  • yellowcard Everardo Lopez 51'
Liga MX Gameweek 5
Toluca
Aug 25, 2024 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
Atletico San Luis
  • Jesus Gallardo 30' goal
  • Marcel Ruiz 57' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 60' goal
  • Victor Arteaga 63' yellowcard
  • Victor Arteaga 69' redcard
  • goal Luis Ronaldo Najera Reyna 37'
  • yellowcard Vitinho 57'
  • yellowcard Javier Guemez 90'+2'
Liga MX Gameweek 16
Atletico San Luis
Apr 20, 2024 4.00am
1
5
HT : 2 4
FT Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramirez
Toluca
  • Unai Bilbao 20' goal
  • Unai Bilbao 20' goal
  • Yan Phillipe 33' yellowcard
  • Yan Phillipe 33' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Dourado 34' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Dourado 34' yellowcard
  • Unai Bilbao 47' yellowcard
  • Juan Escobar 47' yellowcard
  • goal Alexis Vega 13'
  • goal Alexis Vega 13'
  • goal Jesus Angulo 30'
  • goal Jesus Angulo 30'
  • yellowcard Juan Escobar 47'
  • yellowcard Unai Bilbao 47'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 45'+5'
  • goal Jean Meneses 52'
  • goal Jean Meneses 52'
  • goal Jean Meneses 58'
  • goal Jean Meneses 58'
  • goal Brian Garcia 69'
  • goal Brian Garcia 69'
Liga MX Gameweek 14
Toluca
Oct 29, 2023 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
Atletico San Luis
  • Abraham Villegas 18' goal
  • Claudio Baeza 52' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 61' yellowcard
  • Abraham Villegas 65' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 69' goal
  • Jesus Venegas 85' yellowcard
  • Isaias Violante 88' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Jhon Murillo 16'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Dourado 31'
  • redcard Rodrigo Dourado 45'+2'
  • goal Angel Zaldivar 83'

Form Data

Tigres 3 - 2 Toluca
Cruz Azul 3 - 3 Toluca
Toluca 2 - 3 Santos Laguna
Puebla 0 - 1 Toluca
Toluca 5 - 2 Atlas
Toluca 2 - 0 Monterrey
Atletico San Luis 1 - 2 Santos Laguna
Pumas 2 - 3 Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis 3 - 1 Necaxa
Club Leon 2 - 0 Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis 0 - 3 Guadalajara
Monterrey 1 - 3 Atletico San Luis