Sep 7, 2026 2.15am

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Shell Energy Stadium

Federico Pereira 1'
Alexis Vega 4'
Franco Romero 38'
Helinho 70'
Diego Barbosa 74'

Orbelín Pineda 13'
Hugo Cuypers 90'

Toluca vs Monterrey - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions

D
W
W
W
W
D

Monterrey

All competitions

D
D
L
W
L
W

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 54.2%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 22.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 1-2 (5.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Toluca 54.2%

Draw 22.85%

Monterrey 22.85%

Both Teams to Score:

56.3%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.05%

Under 1.5 20.95%

Over 2.5 56.35%

Under 2.5 43.65%

Over 3.5 34.1%

Under 3.5 65.9%

Over 4.5 20.53%

Under 4.5 79.47%

Toluca Goals

Over 1.5 53.41%

Under 1.5 46.59%

Over 2.5 27.43%

Under 2.5 72.57%

Over 3.5 11.51%

Under 3.5 88.49%

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5 59.44%

Under 0.5 40.56%

Over 1.5 27.15%

Under 1.5 72.85%

Over 2.5 9.24%

Under 2.5 90.76%

Over 3.5 2.59%

Under 3.5 97.41%

Score analysis

Toluca 54.2%

Draw 22.86%

Monterrey 22.86%

Toluca

2-1 @ 9.76%

1-0 @ 9.64%

2-0 @ 8.78%

3-1 @ 5.97%

3-0 @ 5.37%

3-2 @ 3.34%

Other @ 11.34%

Total : 54.2%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.68%

2-2 @ 5.42%

0-0 @ 5.35%

3-3 @ 1.24%

Other @ 0.17%

Total : 22.86%

Monterrey

1-2 @ 5.92%

0-1 @ 5.88%

0-2 @ 3.23%

1-3 @ 2.19%

2-3 @ 2.02%

0-3 @ 1.2%

Other @ 2.42%

Total : 22.86%

Head to Head

Jan 11, 2026 3.05am

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Luis Reyes 59'
Roberto de la Rosa 59'
Ricardo Chavez 60'
Ricardo Chavez 61'
Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa 71'
81'
Cristian Isaac Reyes Bermúdez 81'
Sergio Canales 88'

Helinho 56'
Jorge Roberto Díaz Price 67'
Federico Pereira 74'
Alek Alvarez 82'
Jesus Angulo 82'

Dec 7, 2025 1.00am

3

2

HT : 2 0

FT

Federico Pereira 19'
Paulinho 43'
Helinho 51'
Franco Romero 89'

Sergio Ramos 58'
Roberto de la Rosa 75'

Dec 4, 2025 3.10am

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT

German Berterame 39'
German Berterame 80'

Helinho 59'
Diego Barbosa 74'
Jesus Gallardo 89'

Sep 25, 2025 3.00am

6

2

HT : 0 0

FT

May 11, 2025 2.00am

2

1

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Nemesio Diez

Diego Barbosa 12'
Diego Barbosa 12'
Helinho 21'
Helinho 21'
Alexis Vega 30'
Alexis Vega 30'
Antonio Briseno 32'
Antonio Briseno 32'
Paulinho 45'+1'
Paulinho 45'+1'
Paulinho 68'
Paulinho 68'
Federico Pereira 80'
Federico Pereira 80'

Ricardo Chavez 19'
Ricardo Chavez 19'
Stefan Medina 41'
Stefan Medina 41'
Roberto de la Rosa 48'
Roberto de la Rosa 48'
Roberto de la Rosa 48'
Roberto de la Rosa 48'

May 8, 2025 2.00am

3

2

HT : 2 2

FT Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Nelson Deossa 44'
Nelson Deossa 44'
Sergio Canales 50'
Sergio Canales 50'
Nelson Deossa 56'
Nelson Deossa 56'
German Berterame 69'
German Berterame 69'
Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa 82'
Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa 82'

Victor Guzman 17' (OG)
Victor Guzman 17' (OG)
Marcel Ruiz 56'
Marcel Ruiz 56'
Luan Garcia 82'
Luan Garcia 82'
Paulinho 90'+3'
Paulinho 90'+3'
Paulinho 90'+3'
Paulinho 90'+3'

Form Data

Puebla 0 - 0 Toluca

Toluca 2 - 0 Club Leon

Toluca 4 - 0 Juarez

Toluca 2 - 0 Austin

Queretaro 1 - 2 Toluca

Atlante 0 - 0 Toluca

Queretaro 0 - 0 Monterrey

America 2 - 2 Monterrey

Monterrey 1 - 3 Atletico San Luis

Monterrey 2 - 1 Chicago Fire

Club Leon 2 - 0 Monterrey

Monterrey 6 - 1 Juarez