Liga MX Gameweek 9
Sep 21, 2026 1.00am
Estadio Nemesio Díez

Toluca vs Santos Laguna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 2.00am
Puebla 0 - 1 Toluca
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Federico Viñas

Santos Laguna

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2026 2.00am
Santos Laguna 2 - 1 Juarez
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Ezequiel Bullaude

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toluca win with a probability of 76.2%. A draw has a probability of 16.25% and a win for Santos Laguna has a probability of 7.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.57%) and 3-0 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (6.32%) , while for a Santos Laguna win it is 1-2 (2.28%).

Result

Toluca 76.2%
Draw 16.25%
Santos Laguna 7.56%

Both Teams to Score: 

43.12%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.82% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 21.18% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 59.69%
Under 2.5 40.31%
Over 3.5 39.09%
Under 3.5 60.91%
Over 4.5 29.87%
Under 4.5 70.13%

First Half Winner

Toluca 53.76% (+0.02)
Draw 34.15% (-0.03)
Santos Laguna 12.09% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Toluca 68.39% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.32% (-0.01)
Santos Laguna 25.29%

Corners

Over 8 64.86%
Equal 8 9.91%
Under 8 25.23%
Over 9 54.22%
Equal 9 10.64%
Under 9 35.14%
Over 10.5 43.65%
Under 10.5 56.35%

Toluca Goals

Over 1.5 68.31% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 31.69% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 44.46% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 55.54% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 24.99%
Under 3.5 75.01%

Santos Laguna Goals

Over 0.5 33.48% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 66.52% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 11.87%
Under 1.5 88.13%
Over 2.5 3.55% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 96.45% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 0.96%
Under 3.5 99.04%

Score analysis

Toluca 76.21%
Draw 16.24%
Santos Laguna 7.56%
Toluca
1-0 @ 12.64% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 12.57% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 10.3%
2-1 @ 7.6% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62%
Other @ 24.7%
Total : 76.21%
Draw
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.01)
1-1 @ 6%
2-2 @ 2.86%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 16.24%
Santos Laguna
1-2 @ 2.28%
0-1 @ 2.23%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 7.56%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 2
Jan 15, 2026 3.10am
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Santiago Simon 46' yellowcard
  • Everardo Lopez 46' yellowcard
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Santiago Simón 46' yellowcard
  • Everardo del Villar 46' yellowcard
  • Haret Ortega 50' goal
  • Marcel Ruiz 53' goal
  • Helinho 60' yellowcard
  • Pavel Perez 64' yellowcard
  • Pável Pérez 64' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Cordova 70' yellowcard
  • Sebastián Córdova 70' yellowcard
  • Jorge Roberto Díaz Price 82' yellowcard
  • Jorge Díaz 82' yellowcard
  • goal Fran Villalba 21'
  • yellowcard Cristian Dajome 46'
  • yellowcard Cristian Dájome 46'
  • yellowcard Kevin Alexander Palacios Salazar 57'
  • yellowcard Aldo Lopez 57'
  • yellowcard Aldo López 57'
  • yellowcard Kevin Palacios 57'
  • yellowcard Tahiel Adrian Jimenez Sanchez 64'
  • yellowcard Tahiel Jiménez 64'
  • yellowcard Tahiel Adrian Jimenez Sanchez 66'
  • yellowcard Salvador Mariscal 72'
Liga MX
Jul 17, 2025 4.05am
Liga MX Gameweek 2
Jul 17, 2025 4.05am
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX Gameweek 14
Apr 7, 2025 1.00am
2
1
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Paulinho 39' goal
  • Paulinho 39' goal
  • Marcel Ruiz 45'+2' goal
  • Marcel Ruiz 45'+2' goal
  • Jesus Gallardo 55' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 84' goal
  • Isaias Violante 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Isaias Violante 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Echeverria 11'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Echeverria 11'
  • yellowcard Jordan Carrillo 55'
  • yellowcard Jordan Carrillo 55'
  • goal Javier Guemez 66'
  • goal Javier Guemez 66'
  • yellowcard Javier Guemez 89'
  • yellowcard Javier Guemez 89'
Liga MX Gameweek 9
Sep 23, 2024 2.05am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nuevo Corona
  • Santiago Nunez 35' yellowcard
  • Santiago Nunez 35' yellowcard
  • Fran Villalba 45' goal
  • Fran Villalba 45' goal
  • Emmanuel Echeverria 60' goal
  • Emmanuel Echeverria 60' goal
  • Anderson Santamaria 64' yellowcard
  • Anderson Santamaria 64' yellowcard
  • Aldo Lopez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Aldo Lopez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Carlos Acevedo 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brian Garcia 36'
  • yellowcard Brian Garcia 36'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 56'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 56'
Liga MX Gameweek 9
Feb 22, 2024 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Marcel Ruiz 32' yellowcard
  • Marcel Ruiz 32' yellowcard
  • Claudio Baeza 38' yellowcard
  • Claudio Baeza 38' yellowcard
  • Federico Pereira 61' yellowcard
  • Federico Pereira 61' yellowcard
  • Tiago Volpi 75' goal
  • Tiago Volpi 76' goal
  • yellowcard Pedro Aquino 74'
  • yellowcard Pedro Aquino 74'
  • yellowcard Bruno Amione 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Bruno Amione 90'+2'