Liga MX Gameweek 9
Sep 21, 2026 1.00am
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Federico Viñas 25' goal
  • Nicolás Castro 38' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 43' goal
  • Antonio Mohamed 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Everardo del Villar 45'+7' redcard
  • goal Ezequiel Bullaude 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Facundo Agustín Cáseres 45'+8'
  • goal Kevin Palacios 86'
  • goal Fran Villalba 90'+5'

Toluca vs Santos Laguna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 2.00am
Puebla 0 - 1 Toluca
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Federico Viñas

Santos Laguna

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2026 2.00am
Santos Laguna 2 - 1 Juarez
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Ezequiel Bullaude

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 76.19%. A draw had a probability of 16.25% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 7.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 3-0 (10.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.35%) , while for a Santos Laguna win it was 1-2 (2.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result

Toluca 76.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 16.25%
Santos Laguna 7.56%

Both Teams to Score: 

43.08% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.74% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 21.26% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 59.55% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 40.41% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 38.93% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 61.07% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 4.5 29.72% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 4.5 70.28% ▲ (+0.16)

First Half Winner

Toluca 53.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 34.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Santos Laguna 12.13% ▲ (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Toluca 68.26% ▼ (-0.13)
No Goal 6.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Santos Laguna 25.39% ▲ (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 65.33% ▲ (+0.47)
Equal 8 9.85% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 8 24.82% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 9 54.72% ▲ (+0.50)
Equal 9 10.62% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 34.67% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 10.5 44.14% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 10.5 55.86% ▼ (-0.50)

Toluca Goals

Over 1.5 68.25% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 31.75% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 44.31% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 55.69% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 24.86% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 75.14% ▲ (+0.13)

Santos Laguna Goals

Over 0.5 33.42% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 66.58% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 11.83% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 88.17% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 3.53% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 96.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.05% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Toluca 76.2%
Draw 16.24%
Santos Laguna 7.55%
Toluca
1-0 @ 12.68% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 12.64% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 10.32% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 24.58% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 76.2%
Draw
0-0 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.03)
1-1 @ 5.99% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.86%
Other @ 0.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 16.24%
Santos Laguna
1-2 @ 2.28%
0-1 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 7.55%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 2
Jan 15, 2026 3.10am
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Santiago Simon 46' yellowcard
  • Everardo Lopez 46' yellowcard
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Santiago Simón 46' yellowcard
  • Everardo del Villar 46' yellowcard
  • Haret Ortega 50' goal
  • Marcel Ruiz 53' goal
  • Helinho 60' yellowcard
  • Pavel Perez 64' yellowcard
  • Pável Pérez 64' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Cordova 70' yellowcard
  • Sebastián Córdova 70' yellowcard
  • Jorge Roberto Díaz Price 82' yellowcard
  • Jorge Díaz 82' yellowcard
  • goal Fran Villalba 21'
  • yellowcard Cristian Dajome 46'
  • yellowcard Cristian Dájome 46'
  • yellowcard Kevin Alexander Palacios Salazar 57'
  • yellowcard Aldo Lopez 57'
  • yellowcard Aldo López 57'
  • yellowcard Kevin Palacios 57'
  • yellowcard Tahiel Adrian Jimenez Sanchez 64'
  • yellowcard Tahiel Jiménez 64'
  • yellowcard Tahiel Adrian Jimenez Sanchez 66'
  • yellowcard Salvador Mariscal 72'
Liga MX
Jul 17, 2025 4.05am
Liga MX Gameweek 2
Jul 17, 2025 4.05am
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX Gameweek 14
Apr 7, 2025 1.00am
2
1
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Paulinho 39' goal
  • Paulinho 39' goal
  • Marcel Ruiz 45'+2' goal
  • Marcel Ruiz 45'+2' goal
  • Jesus Gallardo 55' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 84' goal
  • Isaias Violante 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Isaias Violante 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Echeverria 11'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Echeverria 11'
  • yellowcard Jordan Carrillo 55'
  • yellowcard Jordan Carrillo 55'
  • goal Javier Guemez 66'
  • goal Javier Guemez 66'
  • yellowcard Javier Guemez 89'
  • yellowcard Javier Guemez 89'
Liga MX Gameweek 9
Sep 23, 2024 2.05am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nuevo Corona
  • Santiago Nunez 35' yellowcard
  • Santiago Nunez 35' yellowcard
  • Fran Villalba 45' goal
  • Fran Villalba 45' goal
  • Emmanuel Echeverria 60' goal
  • Emmanuel Echeverria 60' goal
  • Anderson Santamaria 64' yellowcard
  • Anderson Santamaria 64' yellowcard
  • Aldo Lopez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Aldo Lopez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Carlos Acevedo 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brian Garcia 36'
  • yellowcard Brian Garcia 36'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 56'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 56'
Liga MX Gameweek 9
Feb 22, 2024 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Marcel Ruiz 32' yellowcard
  • Marcel Ruiz 32' yellowcard
  • Claudio Baeza 38' yellowcard
  • Claudio Baeza 38' yellowcard
  • Federico Pereira 61' yellowcard
  • Federico Pereira 61' yellowcard
  • Tiago Volpi 75' goal
  • Tiago Volpi 76' goal
  • yellowcard Pedro Aquino 74'
  • yellowcard Pedro Aquino 74'
  • yellowcard Bruno Amione 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Bruno Amione 90'+2'