Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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Rethabile Rasethuntsa
53'
-
Shavy Babicka
55'
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Rody Junior Effaghe
84'
Lesotho vs Gabon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 42.63%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 27.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.7%) and 1-2 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Lesotho win it was 1-0 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gabon would win this match.
Result
Lesotho
27.98%
▼
(-1.18)
Draw
29.39%
▼
(-0.05)
Gabon
42.63%
▲
(+1.23)
Both Teams to Score:
41.93%
▼
(-0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5
35.5%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 2.5
64.5%
▲
(+0.26)
Over 3.5
16.46%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 3.5
83.54%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 4.5
6.39%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 4.5
93.61%
▲
(+0.10)
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5
59.95%
▼
(-1.12)
Under 0.5
40.05%
▲
(+1.12)
Over 1.5
23.3%
▼
(-1.04)
Under 1.5
76.7%
▲
(+1.04)
Gabon Goals
Over 0.5
69.95%
▲
(+0.58)
Under 0.5
30.05%
▼
(-0.58)
Over 1.5
33.82%
▲
(+0.69)
Under 1.5
66.18%
▼
(-0.69)
Score analysis
Lesotho
27.98%
Draw
29.39%
Gabon
42.63%
Lesotho
1-0
@
11.01%
▼
(-0.24)
2-1 @ 6.06% ▼ (-0.22)
2-0 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.27)
3-1 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 27.98%
2-1 @ 6.06% ▼ (-0.22)
2-0 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.27)
3-1 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 27.98%
Draw
1-1
@
13.24%
▼
(-0.07)
0-0 @ 12.03% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.39%
0-0 @ 12.03% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.39%
Gabon
0-1
@
14.47%
▲
(+0.37)
0-2 @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.35)
1-2 @ 7.96% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.20)
1-3 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.05% ▼ (-96.46)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 42.63%
0-2 @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.35)
1-2 @ 7.96% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.20)
1-3 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.05% ▼ (-96.46)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 42.63%