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Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 23, 2020 at 4pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Lens logo

Nice
2 - 1
Lens

Gouiri (23', 75')
Dante (10'), Kamara (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kakuta (11' pen.)
Medina (41'), Cahuzac (51'), Boura (71')

Preview: Nice vs. Lens - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Nice, including team news and predicted lineups.

Back in Ligue 1 for the first time since 2014-15, Lens will open their 2020-21 top-flight campaign away to Nice on Sunday afternoon.

Lens secured a return to the top level courtesy of finishing second in Ligue 2 last term, while Nice claimed fifth in Ligue 1, although neither side were able to finish their respective campaigns due to the coronavirus outbreak.


Match preview

Patrick Vieira pictured in charge of Nice in May 2019© Reuters

Eleven wins, eight draws and nine defeats - that is how Nice performed during their 2019-20 Ligue 1 campaign, with a total of 41 points from 28 matches ultimately seeing them finish fifth in the table.

Patrick Vieira's side were eight points off fourth-placed Lille when the season was called to a halt in March and actually only one point above ninth-placed Monaco.

Les Aiglons had been in good form in the early stages of 2020, though, and picked up eight points from their four Ligue 1 matches immediately before the coronavirus-enforced shutdown.

France decided to end their campaign prematurely, but Nice have been preparing for the 2020-21 season since the start of July, playing friendlies against Lyon, Saint-Etienne, Celtic, Rangers, Standard Liege, DAC, RB Salzburg and Rennes, picking up three wins from their last four matches.

Lens, meanwhile, were second in Ligue 2 when the season was called to a halt, meaning that they were automatically promoted back to the top tier alongside league leaders Lorient.

A successful 2019-20 campaign saw Franck Haise's side win 15 of their 28 matches, drawing eight and suffering just five defeats, and they are back in the top tier for the first time since 2014-15.

Indeed, Lens have spent the last five years in Ligue 2, which is incredibly for a side that won Ligue 1 in 1997-98 and has also finished as runners-up in the top tier on four separate occasions.

The visitors have won three of their six pre-season matches this summer and will be determined to open their campaign with a positive result, although they lost 2-1 on their last visit to Nice in May 2015.

Nice pre-season form: DLWWLW

Lens pre-season form: DWWLLW


Team News

Everton midfielder Morgan Schneiderlin pictured in August 2019© Reuters

Nice have been busy during this summer's transfer window, with Robson Bambu, Amine Gouiri, Jordan Lotomba, Hassane Kamara and Rony Lopes amongst those arriving at the club.

Morgan Schneiderlin has also joined from Everton, and it would not be a surprise to see the experienced midfielder handed a spot in the XI on Sunday afternoon.

Kasper Dolberg scored 11 times in 26 outings for Nice last season following his arrival from Ajax, meanwhile, and the 22-year-old is likely to lead the line for the home side.

There will be changes from their last competitive match against Monaco, though, as Malang Sarr and Arnaud Lusamba have left the club on free transfers, while Adam Ounas, Riza Durmisi and Moussa Wague have all returned to their parent clubs following loan spells.

Lens, meanwhile, are expected to have former Chelsea youngster Gael Kakuta in their starting XI, with the attacker arriving on loan from Amiens for the 2020-21 campaign.

Seko Fofana, Ignatius Ganago, Facundo Medina and Corentin Jean are also amongst those to arrive in this transfer window, while Guillaume Gillet has departed on a free transfer.

Fofana and Kakuta are likely to go straight into the starting side, but there is expected to be a similar look to the team that featured against Orleans in their last Ligue 2 match on March 9.

Nice possible starting lineup:
Benitez; Dante, Danilo, Bambu; N'Soki, Maurice, Lees Melou, Schneiderlin, Burner; Dolberg, Maolida

Lens possible starting lineup:
Leca; Fortes, Diallo, Radovanovic; Boli, Doucoure, Fofana, Michelin; Sotoca, Kakuta, Jean


SM words green background

We say: Nice 2-0 Lens

Lens will fancy their chances of causing some problems this weekend, but it is a tough ask to overcome Nice in their first game back at this level of football. We are expecting the hosts to emerge victorious, with Danish striker Dolberg potentially making the difference in the final third of the field.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a draw or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Draw/Away:data


ID:411070:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8263:
Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Nice had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.


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Game History

Who will win Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Lens?

Nice
86.4%
Draw
9.1%
Lens
4.5%
44
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1492331171429
3MonacoMonaco1492324121229
4Lille1475224141026
5Lyon147432617925
6Nice146532617923
7Lens146531712523
8Toulouse156361717021
9Auxerre146262121020
10Reims145452018219
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238


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