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Leicester logo
Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 31, 2021 at 2pm UK
King Power Stadium
Leeds logo

Leicester
1 - 3
Leeds

Barnes (13')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dallas (15'), Bamford (70'), Harrison (84')
Ayling (38'), Dallas (62'), Klich (74')

Preview: Leicester City vs. Leeds United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Leicester City will be looking to maintain their good run of form and keep their Premier League title aspirations on course when they face Leeds United.

The Foxes head into the weekend's fixtures third in the division, two points behind leaders Manchester City, while Leeds are 12th after returning to winning ways in midweek.


Match preview

Leicester City's Youri Tielemans celebrates scoring against Everton in the Premier League on January 27, 2021© Reuters

Leicester are now unbeaten in seven top-flight matches following their respectable 1-1 draw with Everton on Wednesday evening.

Brendan Rodgers's side fell behind to a James Rodriguez strike against the run of play, but Youri Tielemans continued his hot streak to earn his side a deserved point.

Only Man City (11 games) are on a longer unbeaten run than Leicester in the Premier League, and the Foxes are very much in title contention with 18 games of their season to go.

City have won their last two home league matches, as many as they managed in their previous seven, and another win would make this their best run since December 2019.

Leeds have looked good on their travels of late, though, beating West Bromwich Albion 5-0 and Newcastle 2-1 either side of a 3-0 loss at Tottenham Hotspur.

Jack Harrison scores for Leeds United against Newcastle United in Premier League on January 26, 2021© Reuters

The win at Newcastle last time out was described as "much needed" by boss Marcelo Bielsa, coming on the back of three defeats in a row in all competitions.

Raphinha produced another fine showing by scoring one and assisting another at St James' Park, taking the winger to six goals involvements in six away league starts for Leeds.

Bielsa's men are positioned firmly in mid-table following that victory, 12 points behind Leicester in third and the same number of points above the relegation zone.

This will be just the second time that the sides have met at the King Power Stadium in the Premier League, with Leeds losing 4-0 under Peter Reid on their previous visit in 2003.

Leicester were 4-1 winners when the teams faced off nearly three months ago and are looking to record a league double in this fixture for the first time in 16 years.

Leicester City Premier League form: DDWWWD
Leicester City form (all competitions): WWWWWD

Leeds United Premier League form: WWLLLW
Leeds United form (all competitions): LWWLLW


Team News

Leicester City's Wilfred Ndidi celebrates scoring their fifth goal in September 2019© Reuters

Wilfred Ndidi has been plagued by injury issues this term and pulled up during the first half of the draw with Everton.

Rodgers is unsure of the extent of the injury, but it looks likely that Nampalys Mendy will be recalled to the side on Sunday.

Defender Jonny Evans is suffering from blurred vision and will also be assessed ahead of the game.

Star striker Jamie Vardy recently underwent minor surgery and is still a week away from a return, so it is between Ayoze Perez and Kelechi Iheanacho to lead the line.

As for the visitors, Diego Llorente's injury return did not go to plan as he left the field inside 10 minutes of Leeds' win against Newcastle.

That will force Bielsa into a back-four reshuffle, with Luke Ayling and Liam Cooper likely to partner each other in the heart of defence.

Robin Koch and Gaetano Berardi will definitely play no part due to injury.

Leicester City possible starting lineup:
Schmeichel; Castagne, Fofana, Soyuncu, Justin; Tielemans, Mendy; Albrighton, Maddison, Barnes; Iheanacho

Leeds United possible starting lineup:
Meslier; Dallas, Ayling, Cooper, Alioski; Phillips; Raphinha, Rodrigo, Klich, Harrison; Bamford


SM words green background

We say: Leicester City 2-1 Leeds United

Even accounting for the draw with Everton last time out, Leicester enter this contest in fine form. Leeds, too, will be full of confidence after returning to winning ways in midweek.

The Foxes have won back-to-back games at the King Power Stadium and were comfortable winners the last time they faced United, so we are tipping them to prevail on Sunday afternoon.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leicester CityLeicester443041086394794
2Leeds UnitedLeeds44279880374390
3Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
4Southampton442591085612484
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4420121267442372
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14Swansea CitySwansea441511185762-556
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16Millwall441411194355-1253
17Stoke CityStoke441311204460-1650
18Queens Park RangersQPR441311204157-1650
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn441310215874-1649
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21Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds44138233968-2947
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RRotherham UnitedRotherham44412283285-5324


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