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Leeds logo
Premier League | Gameweek 14
Nov 30, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Elland Road
Crystal Palace logo

Leeds
1 - 0
Crystal Palace

Raphinha (90+3' pen.)
Struijk (42'), Firpo (47'), Dallas (72'), Roberts (87'), Forshaw (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ward (37'), Gallagher (39'), Guehi (90+3')

Preview: Leeds United vs. Crystal Palace - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Leeds United and Crystal Palace will both be aiming to return to winning ways during Tuesday's Premier League clash at Elland Road.

Marcelo Bielsa's side were held to a goalless stalemate by Brighton & Hove Albion last time out, while the Eagles went down 2-1 to Steven Gerrard's Aston Villa.


Match preview

Leeds United manager Marcelo Bielsa on October 23, 2021© Reuters

Leeds' winless streak in the top flight was stretched to three matches following Saturday's goalless draw with Brighton, where most of the headlines were made following the home crowd's jeers towards Graham Potter and his subsequent reaction.

Bielsa's men were arguably fortunate to take a point from their clash at the Amex as their dismal fortunes in the 2021-22 Premier League season continued, with that point doing very little to help pull them away from the relegation scrap.

Leeds will enter the midweek round of fixtures down in 17th place - three points clear of the dotted line following the postponement of Burnley's clash with Tottenham Hotspur - and Bielsa's men would certainly do well to take advantage of that lifeline.

Now only able to boast one win from their last six Premier League games, the Whites sure are a far cry from their 2020-21 selves, but they have held Leicester City and Wolverhampton Wanderers to draws on home soil recently and welcome visitors who are not exactly brimming with confidence.

Crystal Palace manager Patrick Vieira pictured on October 18, 2021© Reuters

Two of the finest midfield maestros the Premier League has seen prepared to lock horns in the dugout at the weekend, as Patrick Vieira's Palace sought to sour the mood around Steven Gerrard's Aston Villa, but their efforts proved futile.

Matt Targett took all of 15 minutes to propel Villa into the ascendancy with a left-footed strike before John McGinn wrapped up the three points from outside the area, and Marc Guehi's consolation came too little too late for Palace to salvage anything.

Vieira's side would have felt aggrieved to see a red card for Douglas Luiz downgraded to a yellow following a VAR review, and as a result they sit 11th in the table but only four points behind sixth-placed Wolverhampton Wanderers in the tightly-congested top flight.

Defeat to Gerrard's men ended a seven-game unbeaten Premier League run for Crystal Palace - with five of those ties ending in draws - but they have scored at least two goals in four of their last five away games in the top flight - no mean feat with Arsenal, West Ham United and Manchester City in that streak.

Palace went down 2-0 to Leeds at Elland Road in the 2020-21 season after easing to a 4-1 victory at Selhurst Park, but the Whites may not be harbouring hopes of another home success in this fixture given their woeful fortunes so far this term.

Leeds United Premier League form:
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D

Crystal Palace Premier League form:
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L



Team News

Leeds United's Patrick Bamford celebrates scoring their first goal on August 29, 2021© Reuters

Leeds trio Patrick Bamford, Luke Ayling and Robin Koch are set to occupy places in the treatment room for this contest, but Ayling is stepping up his recovery and could turn out for the Under-23s this week.

Junior Firpo and Kalvin Phillips were both hooked at half time in the draw with Brighton, but it is difficult to see either man losing his place in the first XI for Tuesday's battle.

Raphinha and Rodrigo both played the full 90 minutes at the Amex, so Tyler Roberts could come into consideration for a start over the latter amid a quick turnaround.

As for Palace, Joachim Andersen missed the Villa loss with a thigh strain and is likely to sit this one out as well, while James McArthur is absent for the same reason.

Nathan Ferguson is starting to work with the first team as he steps up his recovery from injury, and Vieira may be tempted into a couple of attacking alterations this week.

Odsonne Edouard and Eberechi Eze are both pushing for inclusion from the first whistle here, with Michael Olise's spot in the XI potentially at risk.

Leeds United possible starting lineup:
Meslier; Llorente, Struijk, Cooper, Firpo; Phillips; Raphinha, Roberts, Dallas, Harrison; James

Crystal Palace possible starting lineup:
Guaita; Ward, Tomkins, Guehi, Mitchell; Gallagher, Kouyate, Eze; Edouard, Benteke, Zaha


SM words green background

We say: Leeds United 1-2 Crystal Palace

This is an extremely difficult game to call, as Bielsa's Leeds have been resilient at home in recent weeks, while Palace need no lessons in scoring goals away from home.

However, with Vieira able to call upon some added attacking quality from the bench, we have faith in the Eagles to return to winning ways on Tuesday night.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:curl



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 23.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leeds United in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Leeds vs Crystal Palace

Leeds United
31.5%
Draw
20.3%
Crystal Palace
48.2%
340
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Crystal Palace manager Patrick Vieira pictured on October 18, 2021
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