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Brighton logo
Premier League | Gameweek 13
Nov 27, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Leeds logo

Brighton
0 - 0
Leeds


Bissouma (81')
FT

Firpo (5'), Llorente (66'), Shackleton (85')

Preview: Brighton & Hove Albion vs. Leeds United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Both Brighton & Hove Albion and Leeds United will be looking to return to winning ways in the Premier League when they lock horns in East Sussex on Saturday afternoon.

Brighton are currently ninth in the table, having picked up 17 points from their opening 12 matches, while Leeds sit 17th, collecting only 11 points from their first 12 games of the 2021-22 campaign.


Match preview

Brighton & Hove Albion's Leandro Trossard scores their first goal against Newcastle United in November 2021© Reuters

Brighton will be delighted with their start to the 2021-22 campaign, boasting a record of four wins, five draws and three defeats from 12 matches, which has seen them collect 17 points to sit ninth in the division.

The Seagulls are without a victory in England's top flight since the middle of September, though, drawing five and losing two of their seven fixtures since the 2-1 win over Leicester City.

Graham Potter's side drew back-to-back games against Liverpool and Newcastle United before suffering a 2-0 defeat at Aston Villa last weekend, with Steven Gerrard picking up a strong result in his first game at the helm.

An improvement on last season's 16th-place finish would be very encouraging for Brighton this term, but the early indications are that they could potentially challenge for a spot inside the top half.

That said, goals have been an issue for Potter's team this term, finding the back of the net on just 12 occasions in 12 matches, with only Southampton (11), Tottenham Hotspur (11) and Norwich City (seven) netting fewer.

Leeds United manager Marcelo Bielsa on October 23, 2021© Reuters

Leeds looked to be on course for an impressive result at Tottenham last weekend, with Daniel James sending the Whites ahead in the latter stages of the first half at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

However, Antonio Conte's side managed to turn the game around in the second half, with Leeds suffering their fifth Premier League defeat of the campaign, which has left them in 17th spot in the table.

Marcelo Bielsa's team were so impressive on their return to the top flight last term, but it has been somewhat of a reality check this season, and they might well find themselves in a relegation battle in 2021-22.

The Whites have only lost one of their last four in the league, drawing with Wolverhampton Wanderers and Leicester City, in addition to beating Norwich City, between October 23 and November 7.

Leeds have lost eight of their last nine matches against Brighton in all competitions, though, including both Premier League matches during the 2020-21 campaign.

Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League form:
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L

Brighton & Hove Albion form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L

Leeds United Premier League form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L

Leeds United form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L



Team News

Leeds United's Patrick Bamford celebrates scoring their first goal on August 29, 2021© Reuters

Brighton will welcome Robert Sanchez back into their starting XI, with the Spanish goalkeeper available after serving a suspension against Villa, while Enock Mwepu has a chance of making the squad this weekend.

The Seagulls remain without the services of Steven Alzate and Danny Welbeck, but they are otherwise in good shape, meaning that Potter has a number of decisions to make.

Solly March and Neal Maupay could both return to the starting XI, while there might be a switch to a back four, with Tariq Lamptey and Marc Cucurella in the full-back positions.

As for Leeds, Robin Koch and Patrick Bamford remain on the sidelines through injury, but Raphinha, Rodrigo and Jamie Shackleton have all been passed fit for the match.

Luke Ayling is not yet ready to return, but Bielsa said during his press conference on Thursday that the defender is in line to feature for the club's Under-23s on Monday.

Rodrigo and Raphinha are both expected to return to the starting XI, while James and Jack Harrison should also feature in an attacking side for the visitors.

Brighton & Hove Albion possible starting lineup:
Sanchez; Lamptey, Dunk, Duffy, Cucurella; Bissouma, Moder; Lallana, Trossard, March; Maupay

Leeds United possible starting lineup:
Meslier; Llorente, Phillips, Cooper; Raphinha, Dallas, Struijk, Klich, Harrison; Rodrigo, James


SM words green background

We say: Brighton & Hove Albion 2-2 Leeds United

This has all of the makings of a very open and entertaining game of football, and we are predicting goals on Saturday afternoon. Both sides will believe that they can hurt the other in the forward areas, but we are struggling to separate them and have had to settle on an entertaining score draw.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Brighton vs Leeds

Brighton & Hove Albion
48.4%
Draw
28.0%
Leeds United
23.6%
161
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Brazil's Raphinha celebrates with Neymar on October 14, 2021
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