Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 46.58%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 23.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.94%), while for a Comoros win it was 0-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.