Liga MX Gameweek 17
Apr 20, 2025 2.05am
2
2
HT : 4 4
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Juan Dominguez 30' goal
  • Juan Dominguez 30' goal
  • Everardo Lopez 42' yellowcard
  • Everardo Lopez 42' yellowcard
  • Jesus Gallardo 43' goal
  • Jesus Gallardo 43' goal
  • Hector Herrera 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Hector Herrera 45'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Gabriel Fernandez 2'
  • goal Gabriel Fernandez 2'
  • yellowcard Willer Ditta 33'
  • yellowcard Willer Ditta 33'
  • yellowcard Carlos Rotondi 37'
  • yellowcard Carlos Rotondi 37'
  • goal Carlos Rotondi 45'+3'
  • goal Carlos Rotondi 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Faravelli 63'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Faravelli 63'

Toluca vs Cruz Azul - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Apr 17, 2025 3.00am
Atletico San Luis 0 - 1 Toluca
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Paulinho

Cruz Azul

All competitions
Last game
Apr 16, 2025 4.05am
Cruz Azul 2 - 1 Club Leon
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Ignacio Rivero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Toluca 49.17% (+0.40)
Draw 24.18% (+0.09)
Cruz Azul 26.65% (-0.48)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.98% (-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.04% (-0.76)
Under 2.5 45.96% (+0.76)
Over 3.5 31.73% (-0.72)
Under 3.5 68.27% (+0.72)
Over 4.5 15.89% (-0.52)
Under 4.5 84.11% (+0.52)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 81.24% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 18.76% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 49.84% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 50.16% (+0.23)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5 68.91% (-0.77)
Under 0.5 31.09% (+0.77)
Over 1.5 32.59% (-0.90)
Under 1.5 67.41% (+0.91)

Score analysis

Toluca 49.17%
Draw 24.18%
Cruz Azul 26.65%
Toluca
1-0 @ 9.76% (+0.27)
2-1 @ 9.54% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.17% (+0.19)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.56% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.08)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.91% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 49.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.4% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.83% (+0.19)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.18%
Cruz Azul
0-1 @ 6.82% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 26.65%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 4
Jul 21, 2024 4.05am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Azteca
  • Carlos Rodriguez 12' yellowcard
  • Carlos Rodriguez 12' yellowcard
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 55' yellowcard
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 55' yellowcard
  • Angel Sepulveda 90' goal
  • Angel Sepulveda 90' goal
  • yellowcard Jesus Gallardo 31'
  • yellowcard Jesus Gallardo 31'
  • goal Maximiliano Araujo 38'
  • goal Maximiliano Araujo 38'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 42'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 42'
Liga MX Gameweek 17
Apr 28, 2024 2.00am
0
1
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • 3' goal
  • goal Willer Ditta 18'
  • goal Willer Ditta 18'
  • yellowcard Carlos Rodriguez 71'
  • yellowcard Carlos Rodriguez 71'
  • yellowcard Camilo Candido 73'
  • yellowcard Camilo Candido 73'
Liga MX Gameweek 2
Jul 9, 2023 12.50am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Azteca
  • goal Tiago Volpi 37'
  • goal Tiago Volpi 37'
  • goal Juan Dominguez 90'+2'
  • goal Juan Dominguez 90'+2'
Liga MX Gameweek 6
Feb 12, 2023 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Maximiliano Araujo 32' goal
  • Maximiliano Araujo 54' goal
  • Sebastian Saucedo 87' goal
  • goal Carlos Rotondi 28'
Liga MX Gameweek 8
Aug 14, 2022 11.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Ramiro Funes Mori 18' goal
  • Gonzalo Carneiro 69' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Huescas 81' goal
  • Sebastian Jurado 90'+1' redcard
  • Rafael Baca 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Rivero 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Carlos Uriel 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Jean Meneses 30'
  • goal Marcel Ruiz 43'
  • yellowcard Valber Huerta 44'
  • yellowcard Tiago Volpi 62'
  • goal Camilo Sanvezzo 90'+5'
Liga MX Gameweek 6
Feb 21, 2022 12.05am
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jorge Rodriguez 5' yellowcard
  • Camilo Sanvezzo 20' goal
  • Claudio Baeza 40' yellowcard
  • Luis Garcia 53' yellowcard
  • goal Juan Escobar 7'
  • yellowcard Erik Lira 13'
  • yellowcard Carlos Rodriguez 24'
  • yellowcard Juan Escobar 57'
  • goal Carlos Rodriguez 64'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Mayorga 75'
  • goal Santiago Gimenez 79'
  • goal Santiago Gimenez 82'