Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 53.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 22.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-0 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.