Championship Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Joon-Ho Bae 21' goal
  • Junior Tchamadeu 44' goal
  • Million Manhoef 54' goal
  • Ben Pearson 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Varane 43'
  • yellowcard Jack Colback 58'
  • yellowcard Min-Hyuk Yang 67'
  • goal Min-Hyuk Yang 78'

Stoke City vs Queens Park Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 12.30pm
Millwall 1 - 0 Stoke
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Tom Cannon

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 12.30pm
QPR 2 - 2 Leeds
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Michael Frey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result

Stoke City 44.91% (-0.10)
Draw 26.81% (+0.03)
Queens Park Rangers 28.28% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.01% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.36% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 55.64% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 23.2% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 76.8% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 10.24% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 89.76% (+0.04)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 75.32% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 24.67% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 40.8% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 59.2% (+0.12)

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 65.07% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 34.93% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 28.33% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 71.67% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Stoke City 44.9%
Draw 26.81%
Queens Park Rangers 28.28%
Stoke City
1-0 @ 12.06% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 44.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.62% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.81%
Queens Park Rangers
0-1 @ 9.07% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.67% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.77% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.34% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.67% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 28.28%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
  • Sam Field 22' yellowcard
  • Marti Cifuentes 23' yellowcard
  • Ben Gibson 62' goal
  • Morgan Fox 80' yellowcard
  • Harrison Ashby 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Cannon 24'
  • yellowcard Viktor Johansson 79'
  • yellowcard Jordan Thompson 86'
Championship Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Wouter Burger 45' goal
  • yellowcard Isaac Hayden 64'
Championship Gameweek 18
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
  • Lyndon Dykes 11' goal
  • Lyndon Dykes 79' goal
  • Jack Colback 86' yellowcard
  • Ben Pearson 89' goal
  • Chris Willock 90'+4' goal
  • Asmir Begovic 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Enda Stevens 10'
  • yellowcard Wouter Burger 19'
  • goal Ryan Mmaee 45'
  • redcard Enda Stevens 53'
  • yellowcard Tyrese Campbell 56'
  • yellowcard Ryan Mmaee 56'
  • goal Wouter Burger 59'
  • yellowcard Lynden Gooch 74'
  • yellowcard Daniel Johnson 81'
Championship Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • goal Albert Adomah 48'
Championship Gameweek 11
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 23, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jacob Brown 45'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Jimmy Dunne 13'