Eredivisie Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2025 5.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
  • Mitchell van Bergen 29' goal
  • Said Bakari 62' yellowcard
  • Tobias Lauritsen 69' goal
  • Nokkvi Thorisson 84' goal
  • yellowcard Oliver Braude 4'
  • yellowcard Mats Kohlert 34'
  • goal Alireza Jahanbakhsh 90'+4'

Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2025 1.30pm
Sparta 2 - 0 Nijmegen
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Tobias Lauritsen

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Apr 4, 2025 7.00pm
Heerenveen 3 - 1 Willem II
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Ion Nicolaescu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 23.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result

Sparta Rotterdam 53.36% (+0.06)
Draw 23.39% (-0.02)
Heerenveen 23.24% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.01% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.43% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 45.57% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 32.1% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 67.9% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 16.15% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 83.85% (-0.01)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5 82.97% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 17.03% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 52.83% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 47.17% (-0.05)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5 66.3% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 33.7% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 29.64% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 70.36% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 53.36%
Draw 23.38%
Heerenveen 23.24%
Sparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.78% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.99% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.77% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.31% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.14%
4-1 @ 2.56% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.35% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 53.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.04% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.38%
Heerenveen
0-1 @ 6.24% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 23.24%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 10
Oct 26, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Nikolai Soyset Hopland 4' goal
  • Pawel Bochniewicz 8' yellowcard
  • Simon Olsson 9' yellowcard
  • Jacob Trenskow 58' goal
  • Espen van Ee 65' yellowcard
  • Luuk Brouwers 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marvin Young 71'
Eredivisie Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 1.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
  • Camiel Neghli 57' goal
  • Tobias Lauritsen 73' goal
  • yellowcard Oliver Braude 59'
  • yellowcard Mats Kohlert 83'
  • goal Pawel Bochniewicz 90'+1'
Eredivisie Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2023 3.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Pawel Bochniewicz 71' goal
  • Thom Haye 90'+4' redcard
  • goal Tobias Lauritsen 34'
  • goal Koki Saito 53'
  • goal Koki Saito 62'
Eredivisie Gameweek 29
Apr 15, 2023 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mica Pinto 39' goal
  • Younes Namli 51' goal
  • Shurandy Sambo 67' goal
  • Vito van Crooij 76' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2022 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Sydney van Hooijdonk 25' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arno Verschueren 49'
Eredivisie Gameweek 26
Apr 3, 2022 1.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Vito van Crooij 52' goal
  • goal Amin Sarr 67'