Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 16
Rosario
May 3, 2025 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio El Fortin de Luduena
Independiente
  • Agustin Sandez 16' yellowcard
  • Adrian Sporle 20' goal
  • Enzo Copetti 75' yellowcard
  • Victor Malcorra 78' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Coronel 83' yellowcard
  • Enzo Gimenez 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Freire 11'
  • yellowcard Luciano Cabral 41'
  • yellowcard Ayrton Joel Medina 52'
  • yellowcard Federico Vera 56'
  • yellowcard Adrian Sporle 84'

Rosario Central vs Independiente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rosario Central

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 26, 2025 9.00pm
San Lorenzo 0 - 1 Rosario
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Leandro Campaz

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
May 1, 2025 1.00am
Tucuman 2 - 0 Independiente
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Gabriel Avalos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.

Result

Rosario Central 41.14% ▲ (+1.32)
Draw 28.4% ▲ (+0.13)
Independiente 30.46% ▼ (-1.44)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.62% ▼ (-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.53% ▼ (-0.78)
Under 2.5 60.46% ▲ (+0.78)
Over 3.5 19.41% ▼ (-0.60)
Under 3.5 80.59% ▲ (+0.60)
Over 4.5 8% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 4.5 92% ▲ (+0.34)

Rosario Central Goals

Over 0.5 71.11% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 0.5 28.89% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 1.5 35.23% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 1.5 64.77% ▼ (-0.46)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 64.16% ▼ (-1.48)
Under 0.5 35.84% ▲ (+1.48)
Over 1.5 27.38% ▼ (-1.55)
Under 1.5 72.62% ▲ (+1.55)

Score analysis

Rosario Central 41.14%
Draw 28.39%
Independiente 30.46%
Rosario Central
1-0 @ 12.85% ▲ (+0.50)
2-1 @ 8.19% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.39)
3-1 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.20)
3-2 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.03% ▼ (-94.48)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 41.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.19% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.35% ▲ (+0.30)
2-2 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.39%
Independiente
0-1 @ 10.62% ▼ (-0.13)
1-2 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.29)
0-2 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.29)
1-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.20)
0-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.18)
2-3 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 2%
Total : 30.46%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 11
Independiente
Aug 17, 2024 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
Rosario
  • Kevin Lomonaco 17' goal
  • David Martinez 34' yellowcard
  • Diego Tarzia 43' yellowcard
  • Ivan Marcone 44' yellowcard
  • Santiago Hidalgo 80' yellowcard
  • Federico Mancuello 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Federico Mancuello 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Damian Martinez 24'
  • yellowcard Elias Ocampo 45'
  • yellowcard Kevin Ortiz 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Miguel Barbieri 54'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Independiente
Feb 14, 2024 12.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
Rosario
  • Gabriel Neves 24' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Neves 24' yellowcard
  • Federico Mancuello 32' goal
  • Federico Mancuello 32' goal
  • Ruben David Martinez 81' yellowcard
  • David Martinez 81' yellowcard
  • Ivan Marcone 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Ivan Marcone 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Lovera 36'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Lovera 36'
  • yellowcard Jorge Broun 81'
  • yellowcard Jorge Broun 81'
  • yellowcard Francesco Lo Celso 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Francesco Lo Celso 90'+2'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Rosario
Sep 20, 2023 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre
Independiente
  • Damian Martinez 22' yellowcard
  • Damian Martinez 22' yellowcard
  • Leandro Campaz 68' yellowcard
  • Leandro Campaz 68' yellowcard
  • Leandro Campaz 76' goal
  • Leandro Campaz 76' goal
  • yellowcard Brian Martinez 35'
  • yellowcard Brian Martinez 36'
  • yellowcard Cristian Baez 40'
  • yellowcard Cristian Baez 40'
  • goal Cristian Baez 45'
  • goal Cristian Baez 45'
  • yellowcard Felipe Aguilar 82'
  • yellowcard Felipe Aguilar 82'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 11
Rosario
Apr 13, 2023 1.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre
Independiente
  • Leandro Campaz 23' goal
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 8
Independiente
Jul 16, 2022 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
Rosario
  • Leandro Fernandez 54' yellowcard
  • Alex Vigo 54' yellowcard
  • Tomas Pozzo 57' yellowcard
  • Lucas Romero 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Walter Montoya 16'
  • yellowcard Facundo Buonanotte 60'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Blanco 75'
  • yellowcard Franco Frias 84'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 12
Rosario
Apr 23, 2022 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Independiente
  • Marco Ruben 2' goal
  • Julian Velazquez 71' goal
  • Walter Montoya 73' goal
  • Luciano Ferreyra 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sergio Barreto 17'
  • yellowcard 60'
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 82'
  • yellowcard Juan Manuel Insaurralde 88'
  • redcard Juan Manuel Insaurralde 89'
  • yellowcard Thomas Ortega 90'+4'

Form Data

San Lorenzo 0 - 1 Rosario
Rosario 3 - 0 Instituto
Platense 0 - 0 Rosario
Rosario 2 - 1 Velez Sarsfield
River Plate 2 - 2 Rosario
Rosario 2 - 1 Gimnasia
Tucuman 2 - 0 Independiente
Independiente 0 - 0 Deportivo Riestra
Guarani 2 - 1 Independiente
Independiente 2 - 0 San Martin SJ
Independiente 2 - 1 Boston River
Lanus 1 - 1 Independiente