/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fromlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Flitlog.png)
-
Valentin Mihaila
4'
-
Valentin Mihaila
65'
-
Stefan Tarnovanu
78'
-
Razvan Marin
87'
-
Alexandru Mitrita
90'+2'
-
Ianis Hagi
90'+8'
-
Giedrius Matulevicius
8'
-
Armandas Kucys
34'
-
Rokas Lekiatas
46'
-
Vykintas Slivka
53'
-
Edgaras Jankauskas
80'
Romania vs Lithuania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F36%2Fromania.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 47.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 24.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.
Result
Romania
47.58%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
27.42%
▲
(+0.01)
Lithuania
24.99%
▲
(+0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
44.95%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
40.33%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
59.66%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
20.02%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
79.98%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 4.5
8.34%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
91.65%
▲
(+0.02)
Romania Goals
Over 0.5
74.83%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
25.16%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
40.11%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
59.88%
▲
(+0.04)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5
60.07%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
39.93%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
23.41%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
76.58%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Romania
47.58%
Draw
27.41%
Lithuania
24.99%
Romania
1-0
@
13.86%
▲
(+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.56% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.78% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 47.58%
2-0 @ 9.56% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.78% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 47.58%
Draw
1-1
@
12.72%
0-0 @ 10.04% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.41%
0-0 @ 10.04% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.41%
Lithuania
0-1
@
9.23%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.79%
0-3 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 24.99%
1-2 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.79%
0-3 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 24.99%
Arvydas Novikovas
88'