Nations League
Nov 14, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Aviva Stadium
  • Callum O'Dowda 4' yellowcard
  • Jason Knight 12' yellowcard
  • Evan Ferguson 45' goal

Republic of Ireland vs Finland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Republic of Ireland

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Oct 13, 2024 7.45pm
Greece 2 - 0 Rep. Ireland

Finland

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Oct 13, 2024 5.00pm
Finland 1 - 3 England

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Finland had a probability of 20.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Republic of Ireland in this match.

Result

Republic of Ireland 53.82% (+0.24)
Draw 25.65% (-0.17)
Finland 20.53% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.87% (+0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.76% (+0.52)
Under 2.5 57.24% (-0.52)
Over 3.5 21.91% (+0.41)
Under 3.5 78.09% (-0.41)
Over 4.5 9.46% (+0.25)
Under 4.5 90.54% (-0.25)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5 78.66% (+0.31)
Under 0.5 21.34% (-0.31)
Over 1.5 45.71% (+0.48)
Under 1.5 54.29% (-0.48)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5 57.04% (+0.23)
Under 0.5 42.96% (-0.23)
Over 1.5 20.74% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 79.26% (-0.19)

Score analysis

Republic of Ireland 53.81%
Draw 25.64%
Finland 20.53%
Republic of Ireland
1-0 @ 14.16% (-0.15)
2-0 @ 10.93% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.24% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.63% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.76% (+0.07)
4-0 @ 2.18% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.01% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.84% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 53.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 9.17% (-0.19)
2-2 @ 3.9% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 25.64%
Finland
0-1 @ 7.74% (-0.11)
1-2 @ 5.05% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.27% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.42% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.1% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 20.53%

Head to Head

Nations League
Oct 10, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT Helsingin olympiastadion
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 17' goal
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 17' goal
  • goal Liam Scales 57'
  • goal Robbie Brady 88'
Nations League
Oct 14, 2020 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fredrik Jensen 42' yellowcard
  • Fredrik Jensen 67' goal
  • yellowcard Aaron Connolly 81'
Nations League
Sep 6, 2020 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Aviva Stadium
  • Jayson Molumby 66' yellowcard
  • Harry Arter 86' yellowcard
  • goal Fredrik Jensen 64'
  • yellowcard Daniel O'Shaughnessy 89'