Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 83.53%. A draw had a probability of 10.3% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 6.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 3-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.45%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.