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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 17.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.32%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 1-0 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Leeds United |
| 17.95% ( | 23.21% ( | 58.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.59% ( | 51.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.78% ( | 73.22% ( |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.5% ( | 42.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.13% ( | 78.87% ( |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.83% ( | 17.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.57% ( | 47.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 6.25% ( 2-1 @ 4.71% ( 2-0 @ 2.67% ( 3-1 @ 1.34% ( 3-2 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 1.8% Total : 17.95% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0-0 @ 7.3% ( 2-2 @ 4.15% ( Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.21% | 0-1 @ 12.85% ( 0-2 @ 11.32% ( 1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0-3 @ 6.65% ( 1-3 @ 5.69% ( 0-4 @ 2.93% ( 1-4 @ 2.51% ( 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0-5 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 58.82% |