/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fplylog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Flutlog.png)
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Rami Hajal
8'
-
Adam Randell
36'
-
Ibrahim Cissoko
69'
-
Ibrahim Cissoko
90'+3'
-
Elijah Adebayo
15'
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Victor Moses
71'
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Reuell Walters
83'
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Reece Burke
87'
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Jordan Clark
87'
Plymouth Argyle vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F37%2Frob-edwards.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result
Plymouth Argyle
35.97%
▲
(+0.12)
Draw
24.18%
▼
(-0.02)
Luton Town
39.85%
▼
(-0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
60.66%
▲
(+0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.13%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
41.86%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
35.73%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
64.27%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 4.5
18.81%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 4.5
81.18%
▼
(-0.08)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5
76.91%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 0.5
23.09%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 1.5
43.07%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 1.5
56.93%
▼
(-0.17)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5
78.87%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
21.13%
Over 1.5
46.02%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
53.98%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Plymouth Argyle
35.97%
Draw
24.17%
Luton Town
39.85%
Plymouth Argyle
2-1
@
8.15%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.15% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 35.97%
1-0 @ 7.15% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 35.97%
Draw
1-1
@
11.11%
▼
(-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.17%
2-2 @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.17%
Luton Town
1-2
@
8.64%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 39.85%
0-1 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 39.85%
Dan Potts
89'