/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fparlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fatllog_1.png)
-
Matteo Cancellieri
49'
-
Mateo Retegui
4'
-
Ederson
39'
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Gian Piero Gasperini
54'
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Gian Piero Gasperini
54'
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Ademola Lookman
75'
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Matteo Ruggeri
88'
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Marten de Roon
90'+3'
Parma vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F45%2Fgian-piero-gasperini.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for Parma had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result
Parma
27.14%
▲
(+1.33)
Draw
24.55%
▼
(-0.25)
Atalanta BC
48.3%
▼
(-1.08)
Both Teams to Score:
55.18%
▲
(+1.94)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.79%
▲
(+2.01)
Under 2.5
47.21%
▼
(-2.00)
Over 3.5
30.56%
▲
(+1.84)
Under 3.5
69.44%
▼
(-1.83)
Over 4.5
15.06%
▲
(+1.27)
Under 4.5
84.94%
▼
(-1.26)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5
68.63%
▲
(+2.12)
Under 0.5
31.37%
▼
(-2.11)
Over 1.5
32.27%
▲
(+2.39)
Under 1.5
67.73%
▼
(-2.38)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5
80.4%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 0.5
19.6%
▼
(-0.35)
Over 1.5
48.45%
▲
(+0.57)
Under 1.5
51.55%
▼
(-0.56)
Score analysis
Parma
27.14%
Draw
24.55%
Atalanta BC
48.3%
Parma
1-0
@
7.13%
▼
(-0.18)
2-1 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.29)
2-0 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.26)
3-2 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.23)
3-0 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 27.14%
2-1 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.29)
2-0 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.26)
3-2 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.23)
3-0 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 27.14%
Draw
1-1
@
11.61%
▼
(-0.17)
0-0 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.53)
2-2 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.30)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.55%
0-0 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.53)
2-2 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.30)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.55%
Atalanta BC
0-1
@
10.02%
▼
(-0.75)
1-2 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.52)
1-3 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.23)
2-3 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.19)
1-4 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.08)
2-4 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 48.3%
1-2 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.52)
1-3 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.23)
2-3 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.19)
1-4 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.08)
2-4 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 48.3%