Championship
Gameweek
5
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-
Idris El Mizouni
48'
-
Junior Tchamadeu
79'
Oxford United vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result
Oxford United
30.88%
▼
(-0.21)
Draw
25.06%
▼
(-0.05)
Stoke City
44.06%
▲
(+0.25)
Both Teams to Score:
55.94%
▲
(+0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.67%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
47.32%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
30.45%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 3.5
69.55%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 4.5
14.98%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 4.5
85.01%
▼
(-0.07)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5
71.25%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 0.5
28.75%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 1.5
35.42%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
64.58%
▲
(+0.11)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5
78.5%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 0.5
21.49%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 1.5
45.46%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 1.5
54.54%
▼
(-0.24)
Score analysis
Oxford United
30.88%
Draw
25.06%
Stoke City
44.06%
Oxford United
1-0
@
7.7%
▼
(-0.06)
2-1 @ 7.38% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 30.88%
2-1 @ 7.38% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 30.88%
Draw
1-1
@
11.84%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.06%
0-0 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.06%
Stoke City
0-1
@
9.5%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.1% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7.3% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 44.06%
1-2 @ 9.1% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7.3% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 44.06%