League One Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 0 2
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Cameron McGeehan 10' yellowcard
  • Samy Chouchane 37' yellowcard
  • Tyler Roberts 67' yellowcard
  • Mitchell Pinnock 87' yellowcard
  • Tom Eaves 90'+1' goal
  • Jon Guthrie 90'+3' goal
  • goal John McAtee 6'
  • yellowcard George Thomason 17'
  • goal George Thomason 23'
  • yellowcard Szabolcs Schon 33'
  • goal Eoin Toal 60'
  • goal Dion Charles 83'
  • yellowcard Jay Matete 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Randell Williams 90'+5'

Northampton Town vs Bolton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Sep 28, 2024 3.00pm
Northampton 0 - 2 Mansfield
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Cameron McGeehan

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Sep 28, 2024 12.30pm
Crawley 0 - 2 Bolton
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Aaron Collins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result

Northampton Town 23.18% (-2.74)
Draw 24.4% (-0.17)
Bolton Wanderers 52.42% (+2.91)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.72% (-2.35)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.1% (-1.72)
Under 2.5 49.9% (+1.71)
Over 3.5 28.11% (-1.55)
Under 3.5 71.89% (+1.55)
Over 4.5 13.38% (-1.05)
Under 4.5 86.61% (+1.05)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 63.85% (-3.31)
Under 0.5 36.15% (+3.30)
Over 1.5 27.06% (-3.52)
Under 1.5 72.93% (+3.52)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 81% (+0.50)
Under 0.5 19% (-0.50)
Over 1.5 49.45% (+0.82)
Under 1.5 50.55% (-0.82)

Score analysis

Northampton Town 23.18%
Draw 24.4%
Bolton Wanderers 52.41%
Northampton Town
1-0 @ 6.99% (-0.15)
2-1 @ 5.9% (-0.59)
2-0 @ 3.56% (-0.42)
3-1 @ 2% (-0.41)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.31)
3-0 @ 1.21% (-0.27)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 23.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 6.87% (+0.47)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.41)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 24.4%
Bolton Wanderers
0-1 @ 11.4% (+0.93)
1-2 @ 9.64% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 9.47% (+0.92)
1-3 @ 5.34% (+0.15)
0-3 @ 5.24% (+0.58)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.18)
1-4 @ 2.22% (+0.10)
0-4 @ 2.18% (+0.27)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 52.41%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Kieron Bowie 2' goal
  • yellowcard Victor Adeboyejo 23'
  • redcard Ian Evatt 24'
  • redcard George Thomason 27'
  • yellowcard Josh Sheehan 54'
  • goal Carlos Mendes Gomes 74'
  • yellowcard Gethin Jones 90'+1'
League One Gameweek 14
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Dion Charles 8' goal
  • Randell Williams 16' goal
  • goal Sam Hoskins 66'
  • yellowcard Will Hondermarck 86'
League One
Mar 18, 2017 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Adam le Fondre 75' goal
  • Filipe Morais 82' goal
  • yellowcard Marc Richards 17'
  • yellowcard David Buchanan 51'
  • goal Michael Smith 57'
League One
Nov 26, 2016 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • John-Joe O'Toole 71' yellowcard
  • goal Zach Clough 25'