Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.