Championship Gameweek 10
Millwall
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
Derby
  • Joe Bryan 37' yellowcard
  • Mihailo Ivanovic 85' goal
  • Ryan Wintle 90' yellowcard
  • goal Jerry Yates 78'

Millwall vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
West Brom 0 - 0 Millwall
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Mihailo Ivanovic

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
Derby 2 - 0 QPR
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Jerry Yates

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result

Millwall 40.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 27.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Derby County 32.24% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.85% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.31% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 56.68% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 22.36% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 77.64% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 9.72% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 90.27% ▼ (-0.03)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 72.44% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 27.56% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 36.92% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 63.08% ▼ (-0.04)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 67.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 32.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 30.91% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 69.09% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Millwall 40.29%
Draw 27.46%
Derby County 32.23%
Millwall
1-0 @ 11.56% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.36% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.45% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.2%
3-2 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 40.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.97% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.97% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.46%
Derby County
0-1 @ 10.06% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.28% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.65%
1-3 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 32.23%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 34
Derby
Feb 23, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Millwall
  • Jake Cooper 88' goal
  • Ryan Allsop 90' yellowcard
  • goal Jed Wallace 2'
  • yellowcard George Saville 29'
  • goal Tyler Burey 30'
Championship Gameweek 17
Millwall
Nov 6, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Derby
  • Scott Malone 45'+1' goal
  • Billy Mitchell 58' yellowcard
  • Jake Cooper 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Byrne 27'
  • goal Festy Ebosele 44'
  • redcard Nathan Byrne 64'
Championship Gameweek 36
Derby
Mar 13, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
Millwall
  • Graeme Shinnie 84' yellowcard
  • goal Shaun Hutchinson 45'
  • yellowcard George Evans 58'
Championship Gameweek 16
Millwall
Dec 5, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
Derby
  • yellowcard Graeme Shinnie 34'
  • yellowcard Krystian Bielik 58'
  • goal Jason Knight 69'
  • yellowcard Martyn Waghorn 85'
  • yellowcard Colin Kazim-Richards 86'
  • yellowcard Nathan Byrne 87'
Championship Gameweek 38
Millwall
Jun 20, 2020 1.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT The Den
Derby
  • Matt Smith 15' goal
  • Connor Mahoney 90'+3' goal
  • goal Louie Sibley 26'
  • yellowcard Martyn Waghorn 38'
  • goal Louie Sibley 71'
  • yellowcard Louie Sibley 89'
  • goal Louie Sibley 90'
Championship Gameweek 22
Derby
Dec 14, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Millwall
  • Chris Martin 57' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Bradshaw 25'
  • yellowcard Mahlon Romeo 92'
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 92'

Form Data

West Brom 0 - 0 Millwall
Cardiff 1 - 0 Millwall
Millwall 3 - 1 Preston
QPR 1 - 1 Millwall
Millwall 0 - 1 Luton
Millwall 3 - 0 Sheff Weds
Derby 2 - 0 QPR
Sunderland 2 - 0 Derby
Derby 2 - 3 Norwich
Sheff Utd 1 - 0 Derby
Derby 1 - 0 Cardiff
Derby 3 - 0 Bristol City