Championship | Gameweek 46
May 4, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Riverside Stadium
We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Watford
While this has the potential to be a low-key affair, both managers will want to end on a high ahead of next season. Watford beat one North East side last weekend, but we feel a share of the spoils is most likely here.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.26% . A win for Watford had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.9% .
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.64%) . The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (6.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%) . The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result Middlesbrough Draw Watford 48.26% ( -1.45) 23.85% ( 0.43) 27.89% ( 1.03)
Both teams to score 58.12% ( -0.6)
56.39% ( -1.18) 43.6% ( 1.18)
34% ( -1.17) 65.99% ( 1.17)
81.79% ( -1.01) 18.21% ( 1.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 50.77% ( -1.75) 49.22% ( 1.74)
71.06% ( 0.13) 28.94% ( -0.14)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 35.18% ( 0.17) 64.82% ( -0.17)
Middlesbrough 48.26%
Watford 27.89%
Draw 23.84%
Middlesbrough Draw Watford 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.55% Total : 48.26% 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.84% 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.45% Total : 27.89%
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-17 05:01:09
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