Championship Gameweek 46
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 28' goal
  • Finn Azaz 33' yellowcard
  • Alex Bangura 78' goal
  • Isaiah Jones 84' goal
  • yellowcard Matthew Pollock 20'
  • goal Wesley Hoedt 73'

Middlesbrough vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2024 3.00pm
Cardiff 1 - 4 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Emmanuel Latte Lath

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2024 3.00pm
Watford 1 - 0 Sunderland
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Mileta Rajovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result

Middlesbrough 48.26% (-1.46)
Draw 23.85% (+0.43)
Watford 27.89% (+1.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.12% (-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.39% (-1.19)
Under 2.5 43.6% (+1.18)
Over 3.5 34% (-1.17)
Under 3.5 65.99% (+1.17)
Over 4.5 17.53% (-0.87)
Under 4.5 82.47% (+0.87)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 81.79% (-1.02)
Under 0.5 18.21% (+1.01)
Over 1.5 50.77% (-1.75)
Under 1.5 49.22% (+1.75)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 71.06% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 28.94% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 35.18% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 64.82% (-0.18)

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 48.26%
Draw 23.84%
Watford 27.89%
Middlesbrough
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.10)
1-0 @ 8.98% (+0.18)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.24)
3-0 @ 4.34% (-0.21)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.14)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.19)
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.16)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.11)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 48.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.12% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.27% (+0.27)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.84%
Watford
1-2 @ 6.9% (+0.19)
0-1 @ 6.53% (+0.36)
0-2 @ 4.05% (+0.24)
1-3 @ 2.85% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.67% (+0.11)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 27.89%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Vicarage Road
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo 19' goal
  • Ryan Porteous 40' yellowcard
  • Wesley Hoedt 52' goal
  • Francisco Sierralta 55' yellowcard
  • goal Riley McGree 5'
  • goal Riley McGree 12'
  • goal Josh Coburn 63'
Championship Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Chuba Akpom 36' goal
  • Marcus Forss 45'+3' goal
Championship Gameweek 7
Aug 30, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Vicarage Road
  • Ismaila Sarr 24' goal
  • Francisco Sierralta 61' yellowcard
  • Hamza Choudhury 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo 90'+3' goal
  • goal Rodrigo Muniz 4'
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 38'
  • yellowcard Isaiah Jones 82'
  • yellowcard Paddy McNair 87'
  • yellowcard Riley McGree 90'+2'
Championship Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2021 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Yannick Bolasie 78' goal
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Chalobah 25'
  • goal Ismaila Sarr 32'
Championship Gameweek 1
Sep 11, 2020 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Craig Cathcart 11' goal
  • Ben Wilmot 85' yellowcard
Premier League
Jan 14, 2017 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Stefano Okaka 78' yellowcard
  • Miguel Britos 91' yellowcard
  • Troy Deeney 92' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabio Da Silva 92'