Australian A-League Gameweek 29
Melbourne City
May 3, 2025 8.00am
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Sydney FC
  • Aziz Behich 5' goal
  • Max Caputo 26' goal
  • Marco Tilio 34' goal
  • Andreas Kuen 57' goal
  • Medin Memeti 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Alexandar Popovic 36'
  • yellowcard Anas Ouahim 54'
  • yellowcard Patryk Klimala 55'
  • goal Patryk Klimala 66'
  • yellowcard Rhyan Grant 70'

Melbourne City vs Sydney FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 26, 2025 10.35am
Melbourne City 0 - 0 Adelaide United
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Medin Memeti

Sydney FC

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 27, 2025 8.00am
Western Utd 1 - 0 Sydney FC
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Adrian Segecic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.59%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 23.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result

Melbourne City 54.59% ▼ (-1.16)
Draw 22.3% ▲ (+0.23)
Sydney FC 23.11% ▲ (+0.94)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.54% ▲ (+0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.18% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 40.82% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 3.5 36.79% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 63.21% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 19.62% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 80.38% ▼ (-0.08)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5 85.08% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 0.5 14.91% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 1.5 56.7% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 1.5 43.29% ▲ (+0.67)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5 68.79% ▲ (+0.88)
Under 0.5 31.2% ▼ (-0.88)
Over 1.5 32.46% ▲ (+1.01)
Under 1.5 67.54% ▼ (-1.01)

Score analysis

Melbourne City 54.59%
Draw 22.3%
Sydney FC 23.11%
Melbourne City
2-1 @ 9.81% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 8.85% ▼ (-0.15)
2-0 @ 8.43% ▼ (-0.25)
3-1 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.23)
3-2 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.09)
4-0 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.14)
4-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 54.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.31% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.11)
0-0 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.3%
Sydney FC
1-2 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.19)
0-1 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 23.11%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 24
Sydney FC
Mar 29, 2025 6.00am
2
3
HT : 4 4
FT Allianz Stadium
Melbourne City
  • Jordan Courtney-Perkins 19' yellowcard
  • Jordan Courtney-Perkins 19' yellowcard
  • Jordan Courtney-Perkins 28' goal
  • Jordan Courtney-Perkins 28' goal
  • Douglas Costa 39' goal
  • Douglas Costa 39' goal
  • goal Medin Memeti 5'
  • goal Medin Memeti 5'
  • goal Max Caputo 35'
  • goal Max Caputo 35'
  • yellowcard Aziz Behich 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Aziz Behich 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Atkinson 59'
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Atkinson 59'
  • goal Alessandro Lopane 61'
  • goal Alessandro Lopane 61'
  • yellowcard Patrick Beach 79'
  • yellowcard Patrick Beach 79'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Wong 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Wong 90'+5'
Australian A-League Gameweek 18
Sydney FC
Feb 24, 2024 6.40am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
Melbourne City
  • Jordan Courtney-Perkins 29' goal
  • Luke Brattan 43' yellowcard
  • Max Burgess 84' yellowcard
  • Andrew Redmayne 87' yellowcard
  • goal Marco Tilio 61'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Lopane 76'
Australian A-League Gameweek 3
Melbourne City
Nov 3, 2023 8.45am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Sydney FC
  • Callum Talbot 30' yellowcard
  • Steven Ugarkovic 45' goal
  • Jamie MacLaren 46' goal
  • Curtis Good 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel King 26'
  • yellowcard Patrick Wood 38'
Australian A-League
Melbourne City
May 19, 2023 10.45am
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT AAMI Park
Sydney FC
  • Curtis Good 37' goal
  • Jack Rodwell 59' goal
  • Marco Tilio 67' goal
  • Richard van der Venne 82' goal
Australian A-League
Sydney FC
May 12, 2023 10.45am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Melbourne City
  • Adam le Fondre 64' goal
  • goal Mathew Leckie 18'
Australian A-League Gameweek 18
Melbourne City
Feb 25, 2023 6.00am
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT AAMI Park
Sydney FC
  • Jamie MacLaren 5' goal
  • Marco Tilio 13' goal
  • Jamie MacLaren 30' goal
  • goal Robert Mak 28'
  • goal Diego Caballo 90'+6'

Form Data

Melbourne City 0 - 0 Adelaide United
Western Sydney 2 - 2 Melbourne City
Melbourne City 3 - 2 Brisbane Roar
Melbourne City 1 - 0 Central Coast
Sydney FC 2 - 3 Melbourne City
Melbourne City 0 - 1 Newcastle Jets
Western Utd 1 - 0 Sydney FC
Sydney FC 3 - 2 Newcastle Jets
Sydney FC 2 - 2 Auckland FC
Adelaide United 2 - 3 Sydney FC
Sydney FC 2 - 3 Melbourne City
Sydney FC 1 - 1 Wellington