Manchester United vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.