Championship Gameweek 44
Luton
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
Bristol City
  • Thelo Aasgaard 49' goal
  • Carlton Morris 59' goal
  • Isaiah Jones 72' goal
  • yellowcard Ross McCrorie 22'
  • goal George Tanner 52'
  • yellowcard George Earthy 82'
  • yellowcard Jason Knight 83'

Luton Town vs Bristol City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2025 12.30pm
Derby 0 - 1 Luton
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Carlton Morris

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
Bristol City 2 - 1 Sunderland
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Anis Mehmeti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result

Luton Town 35.22% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 27.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Bristol City 37.07% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.64% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.8% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 57.2% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 21.94% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 78.06% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 9.48% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 90.52% ▲ (+0.03)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 69.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 30.84% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 32.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 67.11% ▲ (+0.01)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5 70.32% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 29.68% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 34.27% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 65.73% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

Luton Town 35.21%
Draw 27.71%
Bristol City 37.06%
Luton Town
1-0 @ 10.76% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 35.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 9.15% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.71%
Bristol City
0-1 @ 11.11%
1-2 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 37.06%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 23
Bristol City
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
Luton
  • Scott Twine 47' goal
  • Scott Twine 58' yellowcard
  • Robert Dickie 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlton Morris 58'
Championship Gameweek 37
Luton
Mar 15, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
Bristol City
  • Carlton Morris 4' goal
Championship Gameweek 4
Bristol City
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
Luton
  • Nahki Wells 5' goal
  • Tommy Conway 27' goal
  • Nahki Wells 61' yellowcard
  • Mark Sykes 67' redcard
  • Andreas Weimann 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke Freeman 67'
  • yellowcard Sonny Bradley 67'
Championship Gameweek 24
Luton
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Bristol City
  • Luke Berry 24' yellowcard
  • Tom Lockyer 42' goal
  • Elijah Adebayo 68' goal
  • Peter Kioso 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Andreas Weimann 56'
  • yellowcard Antoine Semenyo 62'
  • yellowcard Cameron Pring 67'
Championship Gameweek 7
Bristol City
Sep 15, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Luton
  • Cameron Pring 37' yellowcard
  • Nathan Baker 57' goal
  • yellowcard Henri Lansbury 84'
  • yellowcard James Bree 88'
  • goal Danny Hylton 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 44
Bristol City
Apr 25, 2021 1.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
Luton
  • Nahki Wells 31' goal
  • Adam Nagy 38' goal
  • goal James Collins 59'
  • goal Elijah Adebayo 68'
  • goal Harry Cornick 74'

Form Data

Derby 0 - 1 Luton
Luton 0 - 1 Blackburn
Stoke 1 - 1 Luton
Luton 1 - 1 Leeds
Hull City 0 - 1 Luton
Luton 0 - 0 Middlesbrough
Bristol City 2 - 1 Sunderland
QPR 1 - 1 Bristol City
Bristol City 2 - 1 West Brom
Bristol City 2 - 1 Watford
Burnley 1 - 0 Bristol City
Bristol City 2 - 1 Norwich