Champions League
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Jonathan David
45'+3'
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Jonathan David
90'+4'
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Bafode Diakite
90'+6'
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Endrick
46'
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Eduardo Camavinga
59'
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Jude Bellingham
78'
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Antonio Rudiger
79'
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Luka Modric
81'
Lille vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
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Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F38%2Fkylian-mbappe_3.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F39%2Freal-madrid.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F36%2Fthibaut-courtois.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F39%2Fkylian-mbappe.jpeg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Lille had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Lille win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result
Lille
26.42%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
23.31%
▲
(+0.08)
Real Madrid
50.26%
▼
(-0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
58.71%
▼
(-0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.74%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 2.5
42.25%
▲
(+0.32)
Over 3.5
35.34%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 3.5
64.66%
▲
(+0.32)
Over 4.5
18.52%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 4.5
81.48%
▲
(+0.24)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5
70.68%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
29.31%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
34.71%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 1.5
65.28%
▲
(+0.18)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
83.06%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
16.93%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
52.99%
▼
(-0.28)
Under 1.5
47.01%
▲
(+0.27)
Score analysis
Lille
26.42%
Draw
23.31%
Real Madrid
50.26%
Lille
2-1
@
6.64%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 26.42%
1-0 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 26.42%
Draw
1-1
@
10.81%
▲
(+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.31%
2-2 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.31%
Real Madrid
1-2
@
9.61%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.82% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 7.83% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 50.26%
0-1 @ 8.82% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 7.83% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 50.26%
Form Data
Build-up
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F38%2Fkylian-mbappe_2.jpg)