Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 84.07%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 4.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.29%) and 0-1 (12.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.33%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 1-0 (2.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Liechtenstein would win this match.