/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Flenlog_2.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Florilog_1.png)
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Elye Wahi
57'
-
Elye Wahi
58'
-
David Costa
81'
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Tiemoue Bakayoko
20'
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Tiemoue Bakayoko
20'
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Panos Katseris
71'
Lens vs Lorient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F51%2FKevin%20Danso.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lens in this match.
Result
Lens
63.21%
▼
(-0.34)
Draw
20.09%
▲
(+0.03)
Lorient
16.69%
▲
(+0.31)
Both Teams to Score:
55.16%
▲
(+0.60)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.9%
▲
(+0.46)
Under 2.5
40.1%
▼
(-0.45)
Over 3.5
37.53%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 3.5
62.47%
▼
(-0.47)
Over 4.5
20.19%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 4.5
79.81%
▼
(-0.36)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5
87.92%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
12.08%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
62.38%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
37.62%
▼
(-0.09)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5
62.74%
▲
(+0.66)
Under 0.5
37.26%
▼
(-0.66)
Over 1.5
25.95%
▲
(+0.64)
Under 1.5
74.04%
▼
(-0.64)
Score analysis
Lens
63.21%
Draw
20.09%
Lorient
16.69%
Lens
2-0
@
10.05%
▼
(-0.18)
2-1 @ 9.93% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.51% ▼ (-0.19)
3-0 @ 7.08% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.04)
5-0 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 63.21%
2-1 @ 9.93% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.51% ▼ (-0.19)
3-0 @ 7.08% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.04)
5-0 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 63.21%
Draw
1-1
@
9.39%
▼
(-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.09%
2-2 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.09%
Lorient
1-2
@
4.64%
▲
(+0.08)
0-1 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 16.69%
0-1 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 16.69%
Yannick Cahuzac
77'