Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 15
Nov 10, 2024 4.30pm
5
2
HT : 2 2
FT Stadion MOS Poznan
  • Ali Gholizadeh 4' goal
  • Antoni Kozubal 38' goal
  • Michal Gurgul 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Afonso Sousa 50' goal
  • Mikael Ishak 58' goal
  • Patrik Walemark 65' yellowcard
  • Afonso Sousa 69' goal
  • Radoslaw Murawski 73' yellowcard
  • goal Marc Gual 28'
  • goal Rafal Augustyniak 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Luquinhas 50'
  • yellowcard Wojciech Urbanski 77'
  • yellowcard Jurgen Celhaka 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jurgen Celhaka 90'+1'

Lech Poznan vs Legia Warsaw - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Nov 2, 2024 7.15pm
Puszcza Niepolomice 2 - 0 Lech Poznan
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Mikael Ishak

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Nov 3, 2024 7.15pm
Legia 2 - 1 Widzew Lodz
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Marc Gual

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result

Lech Poznan 40.32% (-0.05)
Draw 25.54% (+0.02)
Legia Warsaw 34.13% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.47% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.55% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 48.45% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 29.42% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 70.58% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 14.27% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 85.73% (+0.04)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 76.22% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 23.78% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 42.07% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 57.93% (+0.08)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5 72.77% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 27.22% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 37.35% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 62.64% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Lech Poznan 40.33%
Draw 25.54%
Legia Warsaw 34.13%
Lech Poznan
1-0 @ 9.3% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.68% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 40.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.47% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.54%
Legia Warsaw
0-1 @ 8.42% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.87% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.48% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.41%
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.38% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 34.13%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 32
May 12, 2024 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT INEA stadion
  • Barry Douglas 13' yellowcard
  • Elias Andersson 66' yellowcard
  • Joel Pereira 83' goal
  • Bartosz Salamon 88' yellowcard
  • goal Miha Blazic 15' (OG)
  • goal Bartosz Salamon 45' (OG)
  • yellowcard Yuri Ribeiro 55'
  • yellowcard Artur Jedrzejczyk 64'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2023 4.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
  • Tomas Pekhart 14' yellowcard
  • Steve Kapuadi 87' yellowcard
  • Blaz Kramer 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Radoslaw Murawski 64'
  • yellowcard Mikael Ishak 73'