Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 37.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.33%) and 0-2 (5.24%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.