Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Kazakhstan win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.