Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.