Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 54.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 20.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Radomiak Radom win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.