World Cup Qualifying - Asia
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-
Mehdi Taremi
34'
Iran vs Kyrgyzstan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 65.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 14.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
Result
Iran
65.27%
▲
(+1.80)
Draw
20.13%
▼
(-0.65)
Kyrgyzstan
14.6%
▼
(-1.16)
Both Teams to Score:
50.02%
▼
(-0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.59%
▲
(+0.55)
Under 2.5
44.41%
▼
(-0.55)
Over 3.5
33.21%
▲
(+0.53)
Under 3.5
66.78%
▼
(-0.52)
Over 4.5
16.95%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 4.5
83.05%
▼
(-0.38)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5
87.2%
▲
(+0.70)
Under 0.5
12.8%
▼
(-0.70)
Over 1.5
60.88%
▲
(+1.41)
Under 1.5
39.12%
▼
(-1.41)
Kyrgyzstan Goals
Over 0.5
57.37%
▼
(-1.24)
Under 0.5
42.63%
▲
(+1.24)
Over 1.5
21.02%
▼
(-1.07)
Under 1.5
78.98%
▲
(+1.08)
Score analysis
Iran
65.26%
Draw
20.13%
Kyrgyzstan
14.6%
Iran
2-0
@
11.53%
▲
(+0.34)
1-0 @ 11.21% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 7.9% ▲ (+0.42)
3-1 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.14)
4-0 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.32)
4-1 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.16)
3-2 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.17)
4-2 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 65.26%
1-0 @ 11.21% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 7.9% ▲ (+0.42)
3-1 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.14)
4-0 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.32)
4-1 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.16)
3-2 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.17)
4-2 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 65.26%
Draw
1-1
@
9.57%
▼
(-0.31)
0-0 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 20.13%
0-0 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 20.13%
Kyrgyzstan
0-1
@
4.65%
▼
(-0.28)
1-2 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.28)
0-2 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.19)
2-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 14.6%
1-2 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.28)
0-2 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.19)
2-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 14.6%