Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 85.22%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 4.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.35%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (1.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.