Serie A Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2025 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Lautaro Martinez 24' goal
  • Marko Arnautovic 45'+1' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 64' goal
  • Giorgos Kiriakopoulos 77' goal
  • goal Samuele Birindelli 32'
  • yellowcard Armando Izzo 38'
  • goal Keita Balde 44'
  • yellowcard 69'

Inter Milan vs Monza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2025 5.00pm
Napoli 1 - 1 Inter Milan
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Marcus Thuram

Monza

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2025 11.30am
Monza 0 - 2 Torino
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Dany Mota

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 85.22%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 4.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.35%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (1.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result

Inter Milan 85.22% (+0.79)
Draw 10.56% (-0.51)
Monza 4.22% (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.95% (-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.78% (+1.07)
Under 2.5 34.22% (-1.07)
Over 3.5 43.88% (+1.20)
Under 3.5 56.11% (-1.20)
Over 4.5 25.34% (+1.00)
Under 4.5 74.65% (-1.01)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 94.34% (+0.36)
Under 0.5 5.66% (-0.36)
Over 1.5 78.1% (+1.01)
Under 1.5 21.9% (-1.01)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5 40.23% (-0.40)
Under 0.5 59.77% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 9.47% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 90.53% (+0.21)

Score analysis

Inter Milan 85.21%
Draw 10.56%
Monza 4.22%
Inter Milan
2-0 @ 13.94% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 13.35% (+0.13)
1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.32)
4-0 @ 9.59% (+0.30)
2-1 @ 7.18% (-0.18)
3-1 @ 6.87% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 5.51% (+0.29)
4-1 @ 4.94% (+0.10)
5-1 @ 2.84% (+0.12)
6-0 @ 2.64% (+0.19)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.03)
6-1 @ 1.36% (+0.09)
4-2 @ 1.27% (+0.01)
7-0 @ 1.08% (-97.32)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 85.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 5% (-0.24)
0-0 @ 3.38% (-0.19)
2-2 @ 1.85% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 10.56%
Monza
0-1 @ 1.74% (-0.13)
1-2 @ 1.29% (-0.08)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 4.22%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Dany Mota 81' goal
  • Dany Mota 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Denzel Dumfries 62'
  • goal Denzel Dumfries 88'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Pavard 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2024 7.45pm
1
5
HT : 0 2
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Andrea Colpani 5' yellowcard
  • Raffaele Palladino 6' redcard
  • Matteo Pessina 69' goal
  • Samuele Birindelli 70' yellowcard
  • goal Hakan Calhanoglu 12'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 14'
  • yellowcard Hakan Calhanoglu 58'
  • goal Hakan Calhanoglu 60'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Pavard 77'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 84'
  • goal Marcus Thuram 88'
Serie A Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Lautaro Martinez 8' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 32' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Martinez 76' goal
  • yellowcard Luca Caldirola 41'
Serie A Gameweek 30
Apr 15, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • goal Luca Caldirola 78'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Jan 7, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Patrick Ciurria 11' goal
  • Denzel Dumfries 90'+3' goal
  • goal Matteo Darmian 10'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 22'