Serie A
Gameweek
26
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-
Lautaro Martinez
78'
-
Fabio Miretti
55'
-
Caleb Ekuban
90'+5'
Inter Milan vs Genoa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 76.5%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 7.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.02%) and 3-0 (11.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result
Inter Milan
76.5%
▲
(+0.11)
Draw
15.64%
▼
(-0.06)
Genoa
7.86%
▼
(-0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
41.6%
▼
(-0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.2%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 2.5
42.8%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
34.8%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 3.5
65.2%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 4.5
18.12%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
81.88%
▼
(-0.06)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5
90.59%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
9.4%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
68.36%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
31.63%
▼
(-0.11)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5
45.92%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 0.5
54.08%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
12.67%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
87.32%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Inter Milan
76.49%
Draw
15.64%
Genoa
7.86%
Inter Milan
2-0
@
14.21%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 12.02% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 11.19% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.74% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.88% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25%
6-0 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 76.49%
1-0 @ 12.02% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 11.19% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.74% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.88% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25%
6-0 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 76.49%
Draw
1-1
@
7.39%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 15.64%
0-0 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 15.64%
Genoa
0-1
@
3.13%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 7.86%
1-2 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 7.86%
Head to Head
Serie A
Gameweek
1
-
Alessandro Vogliacco
20'
-
Alberto Gilardino
53'
-
Pierluigi Gollini
63'
-
Junior Messias
90'+5'
-
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
16'
-
Marcus Thuram
30'
-
Alberto Gilardino
61'
-
Marcus Thuram
82'
-
Kristjan Asllani
90'+9'
Serie A
Gameweek
27
-
Simone Inzaghi
21'
-
Denzel Dumfries
22'
-
Kristjan Asllani
30'
-
Alexis Sanchez
38'
-
Lautaro Martinez
69'
-
Morten Frendrup
20'
-
Kevin Strootman
47'
-
Johan Vasquez
54'
-
Johan Vasquez
61'
Serie A
Gameweek
18
-
Radu Dragusin
45'+7'
-
Alberto Gilardino
56'
-
Albert Gudmundsson
66'
-
Radu Dragusin
69'
-
Marko Arnautovic
42'
-
Nicolo Barella
77'
-
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
86'
Serie A
Gameweek
27
-
Manolo Portanova
72'
-
Albert Gudmundsson
74'
-
Alexander Blessin
75'
-
Ivan Perisic
54'
Serie A
Gameweek
1
-
Milan Skriniar
6'
-
Hakan Calhanoglu
14'
-
Arturo Vidal
74'
-
Matias Vecino
78'
-
Edin Dzeko
87'
-
Domenico Criscito
2'
-
Stefano Sturaro
66'
Serie A
Gameweek
24
-
Romelu Lukaku
1'
-
Matteo Darmian
69'
-
Alexis Sanchez
80'
-
Cristian Zapata
19'
-
Kevin Strootman
40'