Supercoppa Italiana
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Denzel Dumfries
49'
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Denzel Dumfries
61'
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Carlos Augusto
88'
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Giorgio Scalvini
28'
Inter Milan vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result
Inter Milan
47.36%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
25.81%
▼
(-0.06)
Atalanta BC
26.83%
▲
(+0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
50.98%
▲
(+0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.4%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 2.5
52.6%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 3.5
25.75%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 3.5
74.25%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 4.5
11.83%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 4.5
88.16%
▼
(-0.14)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5
77.79%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 0.5
22.21%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 1.5
44.37%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 1.5
55.62%
▼
(-0.16)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5
65.53%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 0.5
34.47%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 1.5
28.82%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 1.5
71.18%
▼
(-0.20)
Score analysis
Inter Milan
47.35%
Draw
25.8%
Atalanta BC
26.83%
Inter Milan
1-0
@
11.51%
▼
(-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.23% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 47.35%
2-1 @ 9.23% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 47.35%
Draw
1-1
@
12.26%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.65% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.8%
0-0 @ 7.65% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.8%
Atalanta BC
0-1
@
8.15%
▼
(-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 26.83%
1-2 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 26.83%
Head to Head
Serie A
Gameweek
3
-
Berat Djimsiti
4'
-
Nicolo Barella
10'
-
Marcus Thuram
47'
-
Marcus Thuram
56'
-
Marten de Roon
45'+1'
-
Mateo Retegui
53'
Serie A
Gameweek
21
-
Matteo Darmian
22'
-
Matteo Darmian
26'
-
Lautaro Martinez
45'+1'
-
Federico Dimarco
54'
-
Davide Frattesi
71'
-
Alessandro Bastoni
76'
-
Charles De Ketelaere
10'
-
Ederson
45'
-
Berat Djimsiti
53'
-
Isak Hien
65'
-
Mitchel Bakker
71'
-
El Bilal Toure
89'
-
Ademola Lookman
90'+5'
Serie A
Gameweek
11
-
Marten de Roon
26'
-
Sead Kolasinac
35'
-
Gian Piero Gasperini
40'
-
Gianluca Scamacca
61'
-
Rafael Toloi
85'
-
Rafael Toloi
90'+2'
-
Hakan Calhanoglu
40'
-
Lautaro Martinez
57'
-
Denzel Dumfries
89'
Serie A
Gameweek
37
-
Romelu Lukaku
1'
-
Nicolo Barella
3'
-
Lautaro Martinez
77'
-
Mario Pasalic
36'
-
Andre Onana
90'+1'
(OG)
Coppa Italia
-
Matteo Darmian
57'
Serie A
Gameweek
15
-
Ademola Lookman
25'
-
Jose Luis Palomino
77'
-
Edin Dzeko
36'
-
Edin Dzeko
56'
-
Jose Luis Palomino
61'
(OG)