Eredivisie Gameweek 4
Heerenveen
Aug 31, 2024 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
NAC Breda
  • Simon Olsson 47' goal
  • Luuk Brouwers 50' goal
  • Ion Nicolaescu 70' goal
  • Ion Nicolaescu 84' goal
  • yellowcard Max Balard 48'

Heerenveen vs NAC Breda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Aug 17, 2024 3.30pm
Heerenveen 1 - 1 Utrecht
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Ion Nicolaescu

NAC Breda

All competitions
Last game
Aug 24, 2024 8.00pm
NAC Breda 1 - 2 Utrecht
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Elias Mar Omarsson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 20.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result

Heerenveen 57.31% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 21.73% ▼ (-0.02)
NAC Breda 20.95% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.42% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 40.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 36.73% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 63.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 19.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 80.42% ▼ (-0.01)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5 85.93% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 14.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 58.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 41.65% ▼ (-0.05)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5 66.81% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 33.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 30.21% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 69.78% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Heerenveen 57.31%
Draw 21.73%
NAC Breda 20.95%
Heerenveen
2-1 @ 9.9% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.15% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.98% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.48% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.57%
4-1 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 57.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.09% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.73%
NAC Breda
1-2 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 20.95%

Head to Head

KNVB Beker
NAC Breda
Feb 7, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
Heerenveen
  • Tom Boere 16' goal
  • goal Sydney van Hooijdonk 45'+1'
  • goal Sydney van Hooijdonk 53'
Eredivisie Gameweek 34
Heerenveen
May 12, 2019 1.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion (Heerenveen)
NAC Breda
  • Sam Lammers 69' goal
  • Mitchell van Bergen 90' goal
  • goal Menno Koch 81'
Eredivisie Gameweek 17
NAC Breda
Dec 22, 2018 6.45pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda)
Heerenveen
  • Mitchell te Vrede 6' goal
  • Giovanni Korte 45' yellowcard
  • Mitchell te Vrede 58' goal
  • Gregory Leigh 60' yellowcard
  • Mikhail Rosheuvel 69' goal
  • Mikhail Rosheuvel 76' goal
  • goal Ben Rienstra 11'
  • redcard Ben Rienstra 14'
  • goal Mitchell van Bergen 27'
  • yellowcard Pelle van Amersfoort 36'
  • redcard Yuki Kobayashi 45'
  • yellowcard Warner Hahn 70'
Eredivisie
NAC Breda
Apr 29, 2018 1.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda)
Heerenveen
  • Paolo Fernandes 6' goal
  • Mitchell te Vrede 12' goal
  • Pablo Mari 47' goal
  • Arno Verschueren 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kik Pierie 12'
  • yellowcard Daniel Hoegh 69'
Eredivisie
Heerenveen
Dec 16, 2017 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion (Heerenveen)
NAC Breda
  • Pelle van Amersfoort 55' goal
  • Doke Schmidt 93' yellowcard
Eredivisie
Heerenveen
Apr 4, 2015 6.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
NAC Breda
  • Doke Schmidt 7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Demy de Zeeuw 28'
  • yellowcard Dirk Marcellis 86'

Form Data

Heerenveen 1 - 1 Utrecht
Ajax 1 - 0 Heerenveen
Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Heerenveen
Heerenveen 5 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Heerenveen 5 - 2 PEC Zwolle
Heerenveen 4 - 1 Dordrecht
NAC Breda 1 - 2 Utrecht
NAC Breda 2 - 1 Ajax
Groningen 4 - 1 NAC Breda
Sparta 2 - 1 NAC Breda
NAC Breda 1 - 2 Aris
NAC Breda 0 - 1 Lierse Kempenzonen