Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.