Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 36.58%. A win for Girona had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.3%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (12.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.