Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 51.84%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.