Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 48.57%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.