World Cup Qualifying - Europe
England
Mar 24, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Wembley Stadium
Latvia
  • Reece James 38' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 42' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 68' goal
  • Eberechi Eze 76' goal
  • yellowcard Deniss Melniks 85'
  • yellowcard Dario Sits 89'

England vs Latvia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

England

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last game
Mar 21, 2025 7.45pm
England 2 - 0 Albania

Latvia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last game
Mar 21, 2025 7.45pm
Andorra 0 - 1 Latvia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 81.94%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 5.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.3%) and 1-0 (12.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.98%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (2.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England would win this match.

Result

England 81.94% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 12.97% ▼ (-0.01)
Latvia 5.09% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

35.13% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 58% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 41.99% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 35.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 64.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 18.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 81.28% ▼ (-0.01)

England Goals

Over 0.5 92.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 7.94% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 71.95% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 28.04% ▼ (-0.01)

Latvia Goals

Over 0.5 38.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 61.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 8.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 91.56% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

England 81.93%
Draw 12.97%
Latvia 5.09%
England
2-0 @ 15.75%
3-0 @ 13.3%
1-0 @ 12.43%
4-0 @ 8.43% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.05%
5-1 @ 2.05%
6-0 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.34%
Total : 81.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 12.97%
Latvia
0-1 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 5.09%

Form Data

England 2 - 0 Albania
England 5 - 0 Rep. Ireland
Greece 0 - 3 England
Finland 1 - 3 England
England 1 - 2 Greece
England 2 - 0 Finland
Andorra 0 - 1 Latvia
Latvia 1 - 2 Armenia
N. Macedonia 1 - 0 Latvia
Faroe Islands 1 - 1 Latvia
Latvia 0 - 3 N. Macedonia
Latvia 1 - 0 Faroe Islands

Build-up

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